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Світ·Канада

Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Світ·Канада

Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Élodie Murphy-Gauthier 44%

Guy Veillette 44%

Laurent Bélisle 44%

Charles Paquin 44%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Élodie Murphy-Gauthier 44%

Guy Veillette 44%

Laurent Bélisle 44%

Charles Paquin 44%

Polymarket
НОВЕ
icon for Élodie Murphy-Gauthier

Élodie Murphy-Gauthier

$0 Обс.

44%

icon for Guy Veillette

Guy Veillette

$0 Обс.

44%

icon for Laurent Bélisle

Laurent Bélisle

$0 Обс.

44%

icon for Charles Paquin

Charles Paquin

$0 Обс.

44%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Laviolette–Saint-Maurice riding ahead of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, trader consensus reflects a tight contest shaped by the retirement of longtime CAQ incumbent Marie-Louise Tardif and strong competition between the CAQ’s Guy Veillette and the PQ’s Élodie Murphy-Gauthier.** Veillette, a longtime local journalist with deep community ties, and Murphy-Gauthier, a family physician focused on health and social services, anchor the race. Late-August projections show a near toss-up, with CAQ and PQ vote shares separated by just a few points amid notable PCQ support that could split the vote. Provincial trends featuring a competitive PQ-CAQ dynamic in the Mauricie region, combined with the open seat and the short post-writ campaign period, keep implied probabilities closely matched across leading candidates. Late developments such as candidate debates, regional turnout patterns, or shifts in francophone voter preferences could widen gaps before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Laviolette–Saint-Maurice riding ahead of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, trader consensus reflects a tight contest shaped by the retirement of longtime CAQ incumbent Marie-Louise Tardif and strong competition between the CAQ’s Guy Veillette and the PQ’s Élodie Murphy-Gauthier.** Veillette, a longtime local journalist with deep community ties, and Murphy-Gauthier, a family physician focused on health and social services, anchor the race. Late-August projections show a near toss-up, with CAQ and PQ vote shares separated by just a few points amid notable PCQ support that could split the vote. Provincial trends featuring a competitive PQ-CAQ dynamic in the Mauricie region, combined with the open seat and the short post-writ campaign period, keep implied probabilities closely matched across leading candidates. Late developments such as candidate debates, regional turnout patterns, or shifts in francophone voter preferences could widen gaps before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Élodie Murphy-Gauthier» з 44%, далі «Guy Veillette» з 44%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 31, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — «Élodie Murphy-Gauthier» з 44%. Наступний — «Guy Veillette» з 44%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.