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Політика·Бразилія

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

icon for São Paulo Governor Election Winner
Політика·Бразилія

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

Tarcísio de Freitas 82%

Kim Kataguiri 10.2%

Fernando Haddad 8.5%

Erika Hilton 1.7%

Polymarket

$26,317 Обс.

Tarcísio de Freitas 82%

Kim Kataguiri 10.2%

Fernando Haddad 8.5%

Erika Hilton 1.7%

Polymarket

$26,317 Обс.

icon for Tarcísio de Freitas

Tarcísio de Freitas

$11,929 Обс.

82%

icon for Kim Kataguiri

Kim Kataguiri

$4,186 Обс.

10%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$3,970 Обс.

9%

icon for Erika Hilton

Erika Hilton

$3,589 Обс.

2%

icon for Márcio França

Márcio França

$2,644 Обс.

<1%

The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a commanding position in the São Paulo gubernatorial race, reflecting sustained leads of 13 to 17 points over Fernando Haddad in recent Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Atlas polls conducted through April. His strong approval ratings as governor, combined with limited momentum for a competitive third-way candidate, have heightened concerns within the Workers’ Party about a potential first-round victory on October 4. Fernando Haddad’s trailing standing stems from his formal PT candidacy launch in March, yet polls show him unable to close the gap decisively. Marginal shares for Kim Kataguiri, Erika Hilton, and Márcio França align with survey results placing each below 5 percent, underscoring the polarized contest between the Republicanos incumbent and the PT challenger ahead of any possible runoff on October 25.

The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$26,317
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a commanding position in the São Paulo gubernatorial race, reflecting sustained leads of 13 to 17 points over Fernando Haddad in recent Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Atlas polls conducted through April. His strong approval ratings as governor, combined with limited momentum for a competitive third-way candidate, have heightened concerns within the Workers’ Party about a potential first-round victory on October 4. Fernando Haddad’s trailing standing stems from his formal PT candidacy launch in March, yet polls show him unable to close the gap decisively. Marginal shares for Kim Kataguiri, Erika Hilton, and Márcio França align with survey results placing each below 5 percent, underscoring the polarized contest between the Republicanos incumbent and the PT challenger ahead of any possible runoff on October 25.

The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$26,317
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«São Paulo Governor Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Tarcísio de Freitas» з 82%, далі «Kim Kataguiri» з 10%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «São Paulo Governor Election Winner» згенерував $26.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 27, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «São Paulo Governor Election Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «São Paulo Governor Election Winner» — «Tarcísio de Freitas» з 82%. Наступний — «Kim Kataguiri» з 10%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «São Paulo Governor Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.