Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with the latest aggregates from RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and others showing figures between 35% and 39.6% amid widespread economic pessimism. Traders appear anchored to this range because voter sentiment on inflation, cost of living, and tariffs has remained negative in September surveys, including record-low marks on economic handling in FT/Focaldata and Economist/YouGov polls. Lingering effects from the Iran conflict and midterm pressures have also contributed to stable but underwater readings. With the September 18 measurement just days away, the narrow distribution across 37.5–38.9 bins reflects limited expected movement absent a major economic release, tariff development, or foreign-policy shift that could alter short-term sentiment before the next wave of national surveys.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено38.0–38.4 33%
38.5–38.9 29%
37.5–37.9 27%
37.0–37.4 11%
<37.0
7%
37.0–37.4
11%
37.5–37.9
27%
38.0–38.4
33%
38.5–38.9
29%
39.0+
4%
38.0–38.4 33%
38.5–38.9 29%
37.5–37.9 27%
37.0–37.4 11%
<37.0
7%
37.0–37.4
11%
37.5–37.9
27%
38.0–38.4
33%
38.5–38.9
29%
39.0+
4%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with the latest aggregates from RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and others showing figures between 35% and 39.6% amid widespread economic pessimism. Traders appear anchored to this range because voter sentiment on inflation, cost of living, and tariffs has remained negative in September surveys, including record-low marks on economic handling in FT/Focaldata and Economist/YouGov polls. Lingering effects from the Iran conflict and midterm pressures have also contributed to stable but underwater readings. With the September 18 measurement just days away, the narrow distribution across 37.5–38.9 bins reflects limited expected movement absent a major economic release, tariff development, or foreign-policy shift that could alter short-term sentiment before the next wave of national surveys.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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