Incumbent Rep. Pat Fallon (R) secured the Republican nomination in Texas' 4th Congressional District's March 3 primary, solidifying his position in a district rated Solidly Republican by the Cook Political Report due to its rural northeast Texas makeup and strong GOP voting history, including Fallon's easy 2024 reelection. The Democratic nominee faces steep odds in this reliably red battleground with no competitive polling or fundraising to challenge GOP dominance. Absent late-breaking scandals or national midterm shifts, trader consensus prices reflect the district's partisan lean and incumbency advantage ahead of the November 3 general election, with no major developments in the past 30 days altering the trajectory.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-04 House Election Winner
TX-04 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,656 Обс.
86%
Democratic Party
$1,842 Обс.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Pat Fallon (R) secured the Republican nomination in Texas' 4th Congressional District's March 3 primary, solidifying his position in a district rated Solidly Republican by the Cook Political Report due to its rural northeast Texas makeup and strong GOP voting history, including Fallon's easy 2024 reelection. The Democratic nominee faces steep odds in this reliably red battleground with no competitive polling or fundraising to challenge GOP dominance. Absent late-breaking scandals or national midterm shifts, trader consensus prices reflect the district's partisan lean and incumbency advantage ahead of the November 3 general election, with no major developments in the past 30 days altering the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,498Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Pat Fallon (R) secured the Republican nomination in Texas' 4th Congressional District's March 3 primary, solidifying his position in a district rated Solidly Republican by the Cook Political Report due to its rural northeast Texas makeup and strong GOP voting history, including Fallon's easy 2024 reelection. The Democratic nominee faces steep odds in this reliably red battleground with no competitive polling or fundraising to challenge GOP dominance. Absent late-breaking scandals or national midterm shifts, trader consensus prices reflect the district's partisan lean and incumbency advantage ahead of the November 3 general election, with no major developments in the past 30 days altering the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,498Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Pat Fallon (R) secured the Republican nomination in Texas' 4th Congressional District's March 3 primary, solidifying his position in a district rated Solidly Republican by the Cook Political Report due to its rural northeast Texas makeup and strong GOP voting history, including Fallon's easy 2024 reelection. The Democratic nominee faces steep odds in this reliably red battleground with no competitive polling or fundraising to challenge GOP dominance. Absent late-breaking scandals or national midterm shifts, trader consensus prices reflect the district's partisan lean and incumbency advantage ahead of the November 3 general election, with no major developments in the past 30 days altering the trajectory.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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