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Політика·Джером Пауелл

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

icon for When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
Політика·Джером Пауелл

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

May 15–22 55.8%

May 23–29 34.2%

May 30–June 5 5.0%

June 6–12 2.7%

Polymarket

$168,186 Обс.

May 15–22 55.8%

May 23–29 34.2%

May 30–June 5 5.0%

June 6–12 2.7%

Polymarket

$168,186 Обс.

May 15–22

$64,660 Обс.

56%

May 23–29

$8,345 Обс.

34%

May 30–June 5

$9,137 Обс.

5%

June 6–12

$9,059 Обс.

3%

June 13–19

$8,855 Обс.

2%

June 20–26

$10,068 Обс.

1%

June 27–July 3

$5,200 Обс.

1%

After July 3

$15,911 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's second term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, positioning the immediate post-expiration window as the dominant outcome in trader consensus. Senate confirmation of his successor, Kevin Warsh, earlier that week cleared the path for an orderly transition, while Powell's announcement that he would remain on the Board of Governors pro tempore until the swearing-in has reinforced expectations of a clean handoff within days. This sequence aligns with historical patterns for chair successions and explains why probabilities cluster sharply in the final two weeks of May rather than extending further. Traders view the combination of term expiration and confirmed replacement as the decisive catalysts, with any delay in Warsh's formal installation representing the primary remaining variable that could shift the resolution timing.

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.

Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.

The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.

This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.

All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$168,186
Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's second term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, positioning the immediate post-expiration window as the dominant outcome in trader consensus. Senate confirmation of his successor, Kevin Warsh, earlier that week cleared the path for an orderly transition, while Powell's announcement that he would remain on the Board of Governors pro tempore until the swearing-in has reinforced expectations of a clean handoff within days. This sequence aligns with historical patterns for chair successions and explains why probabilities cluster sharply in the final two weeks of May rather than extending further. Traders view the combination of term expiration and confirmed replacement as the decisive catalysts, with any delay in Warsh's formal installation representing the primary remaining variable that could shift the resolution timing.

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.

Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.

The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.

This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.

All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$168,186
Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 9 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «May 15–22» з 56%, далі «May 23–29» з 34%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?» згенерував $168.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 16, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?», перегляньте 9 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?» — «May 15–22» з 56%. Наступний — «May 23–29» з 34%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.