Traders have positioned Anthropic with an 89.5% implied probability of leading the AI model rankings by end of May, reflecting its recent gains in benchmark performance and demonstrated capabilities across complex reasoning and creative tasks. Iterative refinements to its large language models have strengthened competitive positioning against rivals, outpacing Google's Gemini updates at 9.5% and OpenAI's more modest 1.1% share amid slower progress on key metrics. The market aggregates real-capital sentiment on factors like model reliability and feature depth, though tight timelines before resolution leave room for last-minute releases or benchmark shifts to alter the current hierarchy.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)
Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)
Anthropic 90%
Google 10%
OpenAI 1.1%
Alibaba <1%
$608,728 Обс.
$608,728 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
90%
10%
OpenAI
1%
Alibaba
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Anthropic 90%
Google 10%
OpenAI 1.1%
Alibaba <1%
$608,728 Обс.
$608,728 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$58,978 Обс.
90%
$65,440 Обс.
10%
OpenAI
$37,841 Обс.
1%
Alibaba
$61,147 Обс.
<1%
Meta
$41,764 Обс.
<1%
xAI
$52,617 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$25,554 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$34,097 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$38,952 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$39,087 Обс.
<1%
DeepSeek
$35,580 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$25,718 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$29,179 Обс.
<1%
Moonshot
$29,953 Обс.
<1%
Z.ai
$32,847 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders have positioned Anthropic with an 89.5% implied probability of leading the AI model rankings by end of May, reflecting its recent gains in benchmark performance and demonstrated capabilities across complex reasoning and creative tasks. Iterative refinements to its large language models have strengthened competitive positioning against rivals, outpacing Google's Gemini updates at 9.5% and OpenAI's more modest 1.1% share amid slower progress on key metrics. The market aggregates real-capital sentiment on factors like model reliability and feature depth, though tight timelines before resolution leave room for last-minute releases or benchmark shifts to alter the current hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Обсяг
$608,728Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders have positioned Anthropic with an 89.5% implied probability of leading the AI model rankings by end of May, reflecting its recent gains in benchmark performance and demonstrated capabilities across complex reasoning and creative tasks. Iterative refinements to its large language models have strengthened competitive positioning against rivals, outpacing Google's Gemini updates at 9.5% and OpenAI's more modest 1.1% share amid slower progress on key metrics. The market aggregates real-capital sentiment on factors like model reliability and feature depth, though tight timelines before resolution leave room for last-minute releases or benchmark shifts to alter the current hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Обсяг
$608,728Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have positioned Anthropic with an 89.5% implied probability of leading the AI model rankings by end of May, reflecting its recent gains in benchmark performance and demonstrated capabilities across complex reasoning and creative tasks. Iterative refinements to its large language models have strengthened competitive positioning against rivals, outpacing Google's Gemini updates at 9.5% and OpenAI's more modest 1.1% share amid slower progress on key metrics. The market aggregates real-capital sentiment on factors like model reliability and feature depth, though tight timelines before resolution leave room for last-minute releases or benchmark shifts to alter the current hierarchy.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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