President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office without any death, resignation, or confirmed incapacity that would trigger Iran’s constitutional requirement for a presidential election within fifty days. Under this framework the Guardian Council designates an interim leader only after such a vacancy occurs, yet no such development has taken place in the past thirty days despite occasional unverified reports of internal strains. Pezeshkian’s public schedule, including meetings with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, continues without interruption, and the next regular four-year cycle established after the 2024 contest falls well beyond June 30. Trader consensus therefore places near-certain probability on no election occurring by that date. The sole realistic scenario that could still shift this outcome is an abrupt leadership change before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
$698,593 Обс.
$698,593 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
$698,593 Обс.
$698,593 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office without any death, resignation, or confirmed incapacity that would trigger Iran’s constitutional requirement for a presidential election within fifty days. Under this framework the Guardian Council designates an interim leader only after such a vacancy occurs, yet no such development has taken place in the past thirty days despite occasional unverified reports of internal strains. Pezeshkian’s public schedule, including meetings with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, continues without interruption, and the next regular four-year cycle established after the 2024 contest falls well beyond June 30. Trader consensus therefore places near-certain probability on no election occurring by that date. The sole realistic scenario that could still shift this outcome is an abrupt leadership change before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$698,593Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office without any death, resignation, or confirmed incapacity that would trigger Iran’s constitutional requirement for a presidential election within fifty days. Under this framework the Guardian Council designates an interim leader only after such a vacancy occurs, yet no such development has taken place in the past thirty days despite occasional unverified reports of internal strains. Pezeshkian’s public schedule, including meetings with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, continues without interruption, and the next regular four-year cycle established after the 2024 contest falls well beyond June 30. Trader consensus therefore places near-certain probability on no election occurring by that date. The sole realistic scenario that could still shift this outcome is an abrupt leadership change before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$698,597Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office without any death, resignation, or confirmed incapacity that would trigger Iran’s constitutional requirement for a presidential election within fifty days. Under this framework the Guardian Council designates an interim leader only after such a vacancy occurs, yet no such development has taken place in the past thirty days despite occasional unverified reports of internal strains. Pezeshkian’s public schedule, including meetings with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, continues without interruption, and the next regular four-year cycle established after the 2024 contest falls well beyond June 30. Trader consensus therefore places near-certain probability on no election occurring by that date. The sole realistic scenario that could still shift this outcome is an abrupt leadership change before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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