Skip to main content
icon for Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

icon for Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

4% шанс
Polymarket

$97,499 Обс.

4% шанс
Polymarket

$97,499 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.UK government statements and parliamentary records show no active process underway for designating the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps under the Terrorism Act 2000 by the end of June, with officials repeatedly citing legal and procedural hurdles that have delayed similar actions despite pressure from allies and domestic groups. The National Security (State Threats) Bill, introduced on 9 June 2026 to create new designation powers for state-linked entities, remains in early legislative stages and is not expected to enable immediate proscription. Trader consensus at 95.7% on no designation by 30 June reflects the time required for parliamentary scrutiny, committee review, and royal assent. Late developments such as a major security incident tied directly to the IRGC or an accelerated all-party agreement could still shift the timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
Обсяг
$97,499
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.UK government statements and parliamentary records show no active process underway for designating the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps under the Terrorism Act 2000 by the end of June, with officials repeatedly citing legal and procedural hurdles that have delayed similar actions despite pressure from allies and domestic groups. The National Security (State Threats) Bill, introduced on 9 June 2026 to create new designation powers for state-linked entities, remains in early legislative stages and is not expected to enable immediate proscription. Trader consensus at 95.7% on no designation by 30 June reflects the time required for parliamentary scrutiny, committee review, and royal assent. Late developments such as a major security incident tied directly to the IRGC or an accelerated all-party agreement could still shift the timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
Обсяг
$97,499
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? » — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 4% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 4¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 4%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? » згенерував $97.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 18, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? », просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? » — 4% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 4% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? » точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.