Trump’s established pattern of issuing personal criticisms through Truth Social posts, press interactions, rallies, and speeches continues to shape trader consensus on daily insult markets, with most resolving Yes at high implied probabilities. As president in 2026, he has repeatedly targeted journalists, political opponents, and foreign figures amid tensions over Iran policy, border security, and trade, including extended remarks at the July White House Correspondents’ Dinner and recent statements on regional conflicts. Scheduled events such as the Republican midterm convention in mid-September, ongoing campaign-style rallies, and routine media availability increase opportunities for public statements. Traders weigh this consistent record against the possibility of a low-profile day without direct attacks on individuals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$24,057 Обс.
September 3
63%
September 5
87%
September 6
56%
September 7
89%
September 8
89%
September 9
93%
September 10
89%
September 11
88%
September 12
87%
September 13
86%
September 14
87%
September 15
88%
September 16
88%
September 17
51%
September 18
56%
September 19
87%
September 20
87%
September 21
90%
September 22
83%
September 23
86%
September 24
91%
September 25
62%
September 26
88%
September 27
71%
September 28
53%
September 29
85%
September 30
51%
$24,057 Обс.
September 3
63%
September 5
87%
September 6
56%
September 7
89%
September 8
89%
September 9
93%
September 10
89%
September 11
88%
September 12
87%
September 13
86%
September 14
87%
September 15
88%
September 16
88%
September 17
51%
September 18
56%
September 19
87%
September 20
87%
September 21
90%
September 22
83%
September 23
86%
September 24
91%
September 25
62%
September 26
88%
September 27
71%
September 28
53%
September 29
85%
September 30
51%
A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Trump’s established pattern of issuing personal criticisms through Truth Social posts, press interactions, rallies, and speeches continues to shape trader consensus on daily insult markets, with most resolving Yes at high implied probabilities. As president in 2026, he has repeatedly targeted journalists, political opponents, and foreign figures amid tensions over Iran policy, border security, and trade, including extended remarks at the July White House Correspondents’ Dinner and recent statements on regional conflicts. Scheduled events such as the Republican midterm convention in mid-September, ongoing campaign-style rallies, and routine media availability increase opportunities for public statements. Traders weigh this consistent record against the possibility of a low-profile day without direct attacks on individuals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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