Economic dissatisfaction with living costs, unemployment, and power shortages stands as the main driver keeping expected turnout in the moderate range for Zambia’s August 13 presidential first round. Record registration of 8.78 million voters reflects ECZ outreach and prior extensions, yet surveys show polarized trust in the process and 32 percent undecided or unwilling to state preferences, factors that historically correlate with participation near or below the long-term average. Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema’s lead and opposition fragmentation may limit broad mobilization, while youth engagement and campaign intensity in the coming weeks could still lift or depress overall rates depending on how economic messaging resonates with registered voters.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоZambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout
Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout
50-60% 32%
60-70% 26%
70-80% 18%
<50% 12%
$17,704 Обс.
$17,704 Обс.
Aug 14, 2026
<50%
12%
50-60%
32%
60-70%
26%
70-80%
18%
80%+
9%
50-60% 32%
60-70% 26%
70-80% 18%
<50% 12%
$17,704 Обс.
$17,704 Обс.
Aug 14, 2026
<50%
$3,587 Обс.
12%
50-60%
$3,988 Обс.
32%
60-70%
$6,091 Обс.
26%
70-80%
$1,270 Обс.
18%
80%+
$2,767 Обс.
9%
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Economic dissatisfaction with living costs, unemployment, and power shortages stands as the main driver keeping expected turnout in the moderate range for Zambia’s August 13 presidential first round. Record registration of 8.78 million voters reflects ECZ outreach and prior extensions, yet surveys show polarized trust in the process and 32 percent undecided or unwilling to state preferences, factors that historically correlate with participation near or below the long-term average. Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema’s lead and opposition fragmentation may limit broad mobilization, while youth engagement and campaign intensity in the coming weeks could still lift or depress overall rates depending on how economic messaging resonates with registered voters.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Ринок відкрито: Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$17,704Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Economic dissatisfaction with living costs, unemployment, and power shortages stands as the main driver keeping expected turnout in the moderate range for Zambia’s August 13 presidential first round. Record registration of 8.78 million voters reflects ECZ outreach and prior extensions, yet surveys show polarized trust in the process and 32 percent undecided or unwilling to state preferences, factors that historically correlate with participation near or below the long-term average. Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema’s lead and opposition fragmentation may limit broad mobilization, while youth engagement and campaign intensity in the coming weeks could still lift or depress overall rates depending on how economic messaging resonates with registered voters.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Обсяг
$17,704Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Economic dissatisfaction with living costs, unemployment, and power shortages stands as the main driver keeping expected turnout in the moderate range for Zambia’s August 13 presidential first round. Record registration of 8.78 million voters reflects ECZ outreach and prior extensions, yet surveys show polarized trust in the process and 32 percent undecided or unwilling to state preferences, factors that historically correlate with participation near or below the long-term average. Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema’s lead and opposition fragmentation may limit broad mobilization, while youth engagement and campaign intensity in the coming weeks could still lift or depress overall rates depending on how economic messaging resonates with registered voters.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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