Recent Kremlin statements have positioned the November APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, as the leading venue under consideration for a Trump-Putin meeting or trilateral engagement with Xi Jinping. Russian officials confirmed that the idea was discussed during an early September phone call between the two presidents, with preparations left to the Chinese hosts and diplomatic groundwork still required. This has concentrated trader attention on China amid ongoing Ukraine-related diplomacy and the absence of confirmed U.S. attendance at APEC. The substantial share assigned to no meeting by year-end reflects uncertainty over final arrangements, U.S. scheduling, and the need for substantive progress on bilateral issues before any summit materializes. Lower probabilities for the United States, Russia, or other sites align with the current diplomatic focus on the Asia-Pacific forum rather than bilateral or alternative multilateral settings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоChina 55%
No meeting by December 31 33%
United States 3.9%
Gulf country 2.2%
$1,120,902 Обс.
$1,120,902 Обс.
China
55%
No meeting by December 31
33%
United States
4%
Gulf country
2%
Russia
2%
Other
1%
Turkey
1%
Switzerland
1%
South Korea
1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Australia
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Japan
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
China 55%
No meeting by December 31 33%
United States 3.9%
Gulf country 2.2%
$1,120,902 Обс.
$1,120,902 Обс.
China
55%
No meeting by December 31
33%
United States
4%
Gulf country
2%
Russia
2%
Other
1%
Turkey
1%
Switzerland
1%
South Korea
1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Australia
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Japan
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent Kremlin statements have positioned the November APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, as the leading venue under consideration for a Trump-Putin meeting or trilateral engagement with Xi Jinping. Russian officials confirmed that the idea was discussed during an early September phone call between the two presidents, with preparations left to the Chinese hosts and diplomatic groundwork still required. This has concentrated trader attention on China amid ongoing Ukraine-related diplomacy and the absence of confirmed U.S. attendance at APEC. The substantial share assigned to no meeting by year-end reflects uncertainty over final arrangements, U.S. scheduling, and the need for substantive progress on bilateral issues before any summit materializes. Lower probabilities for the United States, Russia, or other sites align with the current diplomatic focus on the Asia-Pacific forum rather than bilateral or alternative multilateral settings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання