Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman holds a dominant position in California’s 2nd congressional district race, driven by the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his long tenure since 2013. The Northern California district, redrawn under recent maps, has delivered large Democratic margins in presidential contests and features a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by double digits. Huffman’s role as ranking member on the House Natural Resources Committee, combined with over $1 million in campaign funds at the end of 2025, has deterred strong challengers ahead of the June 2 primary. Republican candidates remain limited to minor or unaffiliated entrants, aligning with trader consensus on a Democratic victory. A late surge by a well-funded Republican or major national political shift could introduce uncertainty before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-02 House Election Winner
CA-02 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$0 KL.
92%
Republican Party
$416 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman holds a dominant position in California’s 2nd congressional district race, driven by the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his long tenure since 2013. The Northern California district, redrawn under recent maps, has delivered large Democratic margins in presidential contests and features a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by double digits. Huffman’s role as ranking member on the House Natural Resources Committee, combined with over $1 million in campaign funds at the end of 2025, has deterred strong challengers ahead of the June 2 primary. Republican candidates remain limited to minor or unaffiliated entrants, aligning with trader consensus on a Democratic victory. A late surge by a well-funded Republican or major national political shift could introduce uncertainty before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$416Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman holds a dominant position in California’s 2nd congressional district race, driven by the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his long tenure since 2013. The Northern California district, redrawn under recent maps, has delivered large Democratic margins in presidential contests and features a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by double digits. Huffman’s role as ranking member on the House Natural Resources Committee, combined with over $1 million in campaign funds at the end of 2025, has deterred strong challengers ahead of the June 2 primary. Republican candidates remain limited to minor or unaffiliated entrants, aligning with trader consensus on a Democratic victory. A late surge by a well-funded Republican or major national political shift could introduce uncertainty before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$416Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman holds a dominant position in California’s 2nd congressional district race, driven by the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his long tenure since 2013. The Northern California district, redrawn under recent maps, has delivered large Democratic margins in presidential contests and features a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by double digits. Huffman’s role as ranking member on the House Natural Resources Committee, combined with over $1 million in campaign funds at the end of 2025, has deterred strong challengers ahead of the June 2 primary. Republican candidates remain limited to minor or unaffiliated entrants, aligning with trader consensus on a Democratic victory. A late surge by a well-funded Republican or major national political shift could introduce uncertainty before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp