Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces a competitive primary challenge from well-funded Democrat Eric Jones in California's top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District on June 2, 2026, while six Republicans—Sharon Brown, Mandy Ghusar, Jimih Jones, L. John MacKenzie, Raymond Riehle, and Chuck Uribe—along with independent Thomas Roach vie for the second general election advancement spot. In this Solid Democratic district (D+17 Cook PVI), Thompson holds advantages in cash on hand ($2.6 million) and California Democratic Party endorsement, contrasting Jones' higher receipts ($3.2 million) and Our Revolution backing emphasizing progressive policies. Fragmented GOP fundraising limits threats; recent Sacramento Bee voter guide (May 5) and endorsement highlight Thompson's longevity amid Prop 50 redistricting tweaks. Ballots mailed early May, voting centers open May 23.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-04 Primary Winners
CA-04 Primary Winners
$29,688 KL.
Mike Thompson
98%
Eric Jones
90%
Heath Fulkerson
11%
John Wesley Tyler
8%
Trevor Merrell
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
1%
$29,688 KL.
Mike Thompson
98%
Eric Jones
90%
Heath Fulkerson
11%
John Wesley Tyler
8%
Trevor Merrell
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces a competitive primary challenge from well-funded Democrat Eric Jones in California's top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District on June 2, 2026, while six Republicans—Sharon Brown, Mandy Ghusar, Jimih Jones, L. John MacKenzie, Raymond Riehle, and Chuck Uribe—along with independent Thomas Roach vie for the second general election advancement spot. In this Solid Democratic district (D+17 Cook PVI), Thompson holds advantages in cash on hand ($2.6 million) and California Democratic Party endorsement, contrasting Jones' higher receipts ($3.2 million) and Our Revolution backing emphasizing progressive policies. Fragmented GOP fundraising limits threats; recent Sacramento Bee voter guide (May 5) and endorsement highlight Thompson's longevity amid Prop 50 redistricting tweaks. Ballots mailed early May, voting centers open May 23.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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