Ciro Gomes holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in multiple recent polls and his established name recognition as a former state governor and national figure. Surveys from Ipsos-Ipec and Datafolha in July and August showed him ahead by 10–19 points in first-round scenarios against incumbent Elmano de Freitas, though a late-August Real Time Big Data poll found the two tied at 44% each. Ciro benefits from a broad coalition including PSDB, PL, and União Brasil, while Elmano draws on PT organizational strength and his 2022 first-round victory margin. With the October 4 first round approaching, market pricing aligns with Ciro’s polling momentum and fundraising edge, though volatility in voter intention data and potential runoff dynamics leave room for shifts before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 65%
Elmano de Freitas 37%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$181,085 KL.
$181,085 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
65%
Elmano de Freitas
37%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 65%
Elmano de Freitas 37%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$181,085 KL.
$181,085 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$90,983 KL.
65%
Elmano de Freitas
$36,193 KL.
37%
Eduardo Girão
$14,016 KL.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$13,511 KL.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$12,450 KL.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$13,931 KL.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in multiple recent polls and his established name recognition as a former state governor and national figure. Surveys from Ipsos-Ipec and Datafolha in July and August showed him ahead by 10–19 points in first-round scenarios against incumbent Elmano de Freitas, though a late-August Real Time Big Data poll found the two tied at 44% each. Ciro benefits from a broad coalition including PSDB, PL, and União Brasil, while Elmano draws on PT organizational strength and his 2022 first-round victory margin. With the October 4 first round approaching, market pricing aligns with Ciro’s polling momentum and fundraising edge, though volatility in voter intention data and potential runoff dynamics leave room for shifts before election day.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Khối lượng
$181,085Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in multiple recent polls and his established name recognition as a former state governor and national figure. Surveys from Ipsos-Ipec and Datafolha in July and August showed him ahead by 10–19 points in first-round scenarios against incumbent Elmano de Freitas, though a late-August Real Time Big Data poll found the two tied at 44% each. Ciro benefits from a broad coalition including PSDB, PL, and União Brasil, while Elmano draws on PT organizational strength and his 2022 first-round victory margin. With the October 4 first round approaching, market pricing aligns with Ciro’s polling momentum and fundraising edge, though volatility in voter intention data and potential runoff dynamics leave room for shifts before election day.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$181,085Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in multiple recent polls and his established name recognition as a former state governor and national figure. Surveys from Ipsos-Ipec and Datafolha in July and August showed him ahead by 10–19 points in first-round scenarios against incumbent Elmano de Freitas, though a late-August Real Time Big Data poll found the two tied at 44% each. Ciro benefits from a broad coalition including PSDB, PL, and União Brasil, while Elmano draws on PT organizational strength and his 2022 first-round victory margin. With the October 4 first round approaching, market pricing aligns with Ciro’s polling momentum and fundraising edge, though volatility in voter intention data and potential runoff dynamics leave room for shifts before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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