Discord’s confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 has not progressed to a public registration or pricing, leaving the IPO timeline uncertain amid a 2026 market that favors AI and infrastructure names over consumer platforms. Secondary-market valuations have reset to roughly $8.5 billion, well below the 2021 peak of $15 billion, reflecting compressed multiples and questions around Nitro monetization and competition. With no confirmed roadshow or listing date as of late summer 2026, trader consensus assigns the highest probability to no IPO by December 31, 2027, while any debut within the window is priced toward the 8–11 billion closing market-cap bucket consistent with current private marks. Upcoming catalysts include potential public S-1 disclosure and broader equity sentiment for non-AI listings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNo IPO by December 31, 2027 52.4%
8–11B 12.6%
11–14B 10.9%
20B+ 5.5%
$105,225 KL.
$105,225 KL.
<5B
2%
5–8B
2%
8–11B
13%
11–14B
11%
14–17B
5%
17–20B
4%
20B+
6%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
52%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 52.4%
8–11B 12.6%
11–14B 10.9%
20B+ 5.5%
$105,225 KL.
$105,225 KL.
<5B
2%
5–8B
2%
8–11B
13%
11–14B
11%
14–17B
5%
17–20B
4%
20B+
6%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
52%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Discord’s confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 has not progressed to a public registration or pricing, leaving the IPO timeline uncertain amid a 2026 market that favors AI and infrastructure names over consumer platforms. Secondary-market valuations have reset to roughly $8.5 billion, well below the 2021 peak of $15 billion, reflecting compressed multiples and questions around Nitro monetization and competition. With no confirmed roadshow or listing date as of late summer 2026, trader consensus assigns the highest probability to no IPO by December 31, 2027, while any debut within the window is priced toward the 8–11 billion closing market-cap bucket consistent with current private marks. Upcoming catalysts include potential public S-1 disclosure and broader equity sentiment for non-AI listings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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