In Florida's newly redrawn 9th Congressional District, a crowded Republican primary on August 18 features Ben Butler, Dan Green, Jorge Martinez, and Thomas Chalifoux as the leading contenders, with traders assigning each roughly 17-31% implied probability amid heavy undecided voters. Redistricting shifted the seat into Republican-leaning territory, drawing multiple candidates focused on cost-of-living concerns and inflation. A mid-August poll showed the top three statistically tied, while recent endorsements such as Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's support for Green have provided minor momentum without producing clear separation. Candidate forums and late-campaign positioning continue to influence sentiment in this open primary lacking an incumbent.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-09 Republican Primary Winner
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner
Ben Butler 31.1%
Dan Green 29%
Jorge Martinez 23.5%
Thomas Chalifoux 17.1%
$130,451 KL.
$130,451 KL.
Ben Butler
31%
Dan Green
29%
Jorge Martinez
24%
Thomas Chalifoux
17%
Justin Story
<1%
Howard Steven Rance
<1%
Jorge Malavet
<1%
Marcus Carter
<1%
Steve Rance
<1%
Ben Butler 31.1%
Dan Green 29%
Jorge Martinez 23.5%
Thomas Chalifoux 17.1%
$130,451 KL.
$130,451 KL.
Ben Butler
31%
Dan Green
29%
Jorge Martinez
24%
Thomas Chalifoux
17%
Justin Story
<1%
Howard Steven Rance
<1%
Jorge Malavet
<1%
Marcus Carter
<1%
Steve Rance
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Florida's newly redrawn 9th Congressional District, a crowded Republican primary on August 18 features Ben Butler, Dan Green, Jorge Martinez, and Thomas Chalifoux as the leading contenders, with traders assigning each roughly 17-31% implied probability amid heavy undecided voters. Redistricting shifted the seat into Republican-leaning territory, drawing multiple candidates focused on cost-of-living concerns and inflation. A mid-August poll showed the top three statistically tied, while recent endorsements such as Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's support for Green have provided minor momentum without producing clear separation. Candidate forums and late-campaign positioning continue to influence sentiment in this open primary lacking an incumbent.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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