Recent National Weather Service guidance, supported by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs, centers the official high temperature at Dallas Love Field near 88°F under partly sunny skies and moderate south winds of 10–15 mph. These conditions position the 88–89°F bin as the leading outcome at 39.5% implied probability, with adjacent 86–87°F and 90–91°F ranges close behind due to typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°F in late-spring setups. Historical May averages around 85°F provide climatological context, while the absence of strong frontal systems or significant moisture keeps intensification limited and supports the tight clustering of trader sentiment around the mid-to-upper 80s. Final resolution depends on the verified maximum at the official station, with any last-minute model adjustments able to shift probabilities between neighboring bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Dallas on May 16?
88-89°F 40%
86-87°F 29%
90-91°F 25%
92°F or higher 7%
$17,178 KL.
$17,178 KL.
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
29%
88-89°F
40%
90-91°F
25%
92°F or higher
7%
88-89°F 40%
86-87°F 29%
90-91°F 25%
92°F or higher 7%
$17,178 KL.
$17,178 KL.
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
29%
88-89°F
40%
90-91°F
25%
92°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance, supported by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs, centers the official high temperature at Dallas Love Field near 88°F under partly sunny skies and moderate south winds of 10–15 mph. These conditions position the 88–89°F bin as the leading outcome at 39.5% implied probability, with adjacent 86–87°F and 90–91°F ranges close behind due to typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°F in late-spring setups. Historical May averages around 85°F provide climatological context, while the absence of strong frontal systems or significant moisture keeps intensification limited and supports the tight clustering of trader sentiment around the mid-to-upper 80s. Final resolution depends on the verified maximum at the official station, with any last-minute model adjustments able to shift probabilities between neighboring bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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