Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Denver on August 15 centers on highs in the low-to-mid 80s, with afternoon thunderstorms likely to develop after peak heating and cap temperatures. Trader consensus reflects this narrow spread between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins, as small differences in convective initiation timing, boundary-layer moisture, and high-cloud coverage can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Typical late-summer Front Range conditions—diurnal heating, upslope flow, and orographic lift—create high day-to-day variability, while climatological averages near 85°F provide context for why outcomes above 86°F remain low-probability. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine these odds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Denver on August 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 15?
82-83°F 40%
80-81°F 35%
84-85°F 17%
78-79°F 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 40%
80-81°F 35%
84-85°F 17%
78-79°F 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
$681 KL.
<1%
74-75°F
$628 KL.
1%
76-77°F
$1,288 KL.
3%
78-79°F
$1,000 KL.
7%
80-81°F
$482 KL.
35%
82-83°F
$372 KL.
40%
84-85°F
$1,950 KL.
17%
86-87°F
$1,475 KL.
4%
88-89°F
$183 KL.
<1%
90-91°F
$114 KL.
<1%
92°F or higher
$291 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Denver on August 15 centers on highs in the low-to-mid 80s, with afternoon thunderstorms likely to develop after peak heating and cap temperatures. Trader consensus reflects this narrow spread between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins, as small differences in convective initiation timing, boundary-layer moisture, and high-cloud coverage can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Typical late-summer Front Range conditions—diurnal heating, upslope flow, and orographic lift—create high day-to-day variability, while climatological averages near 85°F provide context for why outcomes above 86°F remain low-probability. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,464Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Denver on August 15 centers on highs in the low-to-mid 80s, with afternoon thunderstorms likely to develop after peak heating and cap temperatures. Trader consensus reflects this narrow spread between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins, as small differences in convective initiation timing, boundary-layer moisture, and high-cloud coverage can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Typical late-summer Front Range conditions—diurnal heating, upslope flow, and orographic lift—create high day-to-day variability, while climatological averages near 85°F provide context for why outcomes above 86°F remain low-probability. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,464Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Denver on August 15 centers on highs in the low-to-mid 80s, with afternoon thunderstorms likely to develop after peak heating and cap temperatures. Trader consensus reflects this narrow spread between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins, as small differences in convective initiation timing, boundary-layer moisture, and high-cloud coverage can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Typical late-summer Front Range conditions—diurnal heating, upslope flow, and orographic lift—create high day-to-day variability, while climatological averages near 85°F provide context for why outcomes above 86°F remain low-probability. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine these odds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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