Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C today, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and combines with moist easterly flow to sustain cloud cover, thereby limiting solar heating and capping temperatures. This consensus aligns with climatological baselines for mid-May, where typical highs range from 26–29°C under similar synoptic patterns. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 25°C reflects the tight spread among ensemble members, with minimal divergence in model guidance. A sudden clearing of cloud decks or an unexpected shift in steering flow could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though current observational data and short-range updates make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$265,851 KL.
$265,851 KL.
May 17, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$265,851 KL.
$265,851 KL.
May 17, 2026
19°C or below
$3,029 KL.
<1%
20°C
$2,037 KL.
<1%
21°C
$2,261 KL.
<1%
22°C
$1,657 KL.
<1%
23°C
$6,693 KL.
<1%
24°C
$38,211 KL.
<1%
25°C
$103,686 KL.
100%
26°C
$54,974 KL.
<1%
27°C
$24,341 KL.
<1%
28°C
$12,542 KL.
<1%
29°C or higher
$16,419 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C today, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and combines with moist easterly flow to sustain cloud cover, thereby limiting solar heating and capping temperatures. This consensus aligns with climatological baselines for mid-May, where typical highs range from 26–29°C under similar synoptic patterns. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 25°C reflects the tight spread among ensemble members, with minimal divergence in model guidance. A sudden clearing of cloud decks or an unexpected shift in steering flow could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though current observational data and short-range updates make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$265,851Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C today, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and combines with moist easterly flow to sustain cloud cover, thereby limiting solar heating and capping temperatures. This consensus aligns with climatological baselines for mid-May, where typical highs range from 26–29°C under similar synoptic patterns. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 25°C reflects the tight spread among ensemble members, with minimal divergence in model guidance. A sudden clearing of cloud decks or an unexpected shift in steering flow could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though current observational data and short-range updates make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$265,851Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C today, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and combines with moist easterly flow to sustain cloud cover, thereby limiting solar heating and capping temperatures. This consensus aligns with climatological baselines for mid-May, where typical highs range from 26–29°C under similar synoptic patterns. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 25°C reflects the tight spread among ensemble members, with minimal divergence in model guidance. A sudden clearing of cloud decks or an unexpected shift in steering flow could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though current observational data and short-range updates make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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