Strong model consensus from agencies including AccuWeather and regional meteorological services projects a daytime high near 30–31°C for Jinan on August 14, underpinned by persistent subtropical high influence, high solar insolation, and typical North China Plain summer conditions that routinely produce maxima well above 28°C. This aligns with August climatology showing average highs around 30°C and recent regional patterns of sustained heat, placing the 26°C threshold well within expected ranges even with possible thundershowers. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability reflects this robust forecast agreement and low historical deviation risk. An atypical cold front or rapid cloud cover could lower the maximum, though current guidance indicates minimal chance of dropping below the dominant threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jinan on August 14?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 14?
26°C or higher 98%
25°C 3%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
98%
26°C or higher 98%
25°C 3%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
$123 KL.
1%
17°C
$252 KL.
1%
18°C
$252 KL.
1%
19°C
$376 KL.
1%
20°C
$252 KL.
1%
21°C
$252 KL.
1%
22°C
$252 KL.
1%
23°C
$252 KL.
1%
24°C
$257 KL.
1%
25°C
$67 KL.
3%
26°C or higher
$550 KL.
98%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from agencies including AccuWeather and regional meteorological services projects a daytime high near 30–31°C for Jinan on August 14, underpinned by persistent subtropical high influence, high solar insolation, and typical North China Plain summer conditions that routinely produce maxima well above 28°C. This aligns with August climatology showing average highs around 30°C and recent regional patterns of sustained heat, placing the 26°C threshold well within expected ranges even with possible thundershowers. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability reflects this robust forecast agreement and low historical deviation risk. An atypical cold front or rapid cloud cover could lower the maximum, though current guidance indicates minimal chance of dropping below the dominant threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,885Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from agencies including AccuWeather and regional meteorological services projects a daytime high near 30–31°C for Jinan on August 14, underpinned by persistent subtropical high influence, high solar insolation, and typical North China Plain summer conditions that routinely produce maxima well above 28°C. This aligns with August climatology showing average highs around 30°C and recent regional patterns of sustained heat, placing the 26°C threshold well within expected ranges even with possible thundershowers. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability reflects this robust forecast agreement and low historical deviation risk. An atypical cold front or rapid cloud cover could lower the maximum, though current guidance indicates minimal chance of dropping below the dominant threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,885Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong model consensus from agencies including AccuWeather and regional meteorological services projects a daytime high near 30–31°C for Jinan on August 14, underpinned by persistent subtropical high influence, high solar insolation, and typical North China Plain summer conditions that routinely produce maxima well above 28°C. This aligns with August climatology showing average highs around 30°C and recent regional patterns of sustained heat, placing the 26°C threshold well within expected ranges even with possible thundershowers. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability reflects this robust forecast agreement and low historical deviation risk. An atypical cold front or rapid cloud cover could lower the maximum, though current guidance indicates minimal chance of dropping below the dominant threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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