Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, which underpins the market’s overwhelming consensus for that exact outcome. Official observations and model runs indicate stable atmospheric conditions without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification that could push temperatures higher, while historical May averages for the region sit near 16–17°C. Traders appear to weigh the low likelihood of late-day revisions from additional solar heating or frontal shifts, though an unexpected reduction in cloud cover or stronger southerly winds could still nudge the verified high slightly above or below the 18°C threshold before official confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on May 17?
Highest temperature in London on May 17?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$171,580 KL.
$171,580 KL.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$171,580 KL.
$171,580 KL.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$997 KL.
<1%
11°C
$1,915 KL.
<1%
12°C
$8,287 KL.
<1%
13°C
$12,717 KL.
<1%
14°C
$13,451 KL.
<1%
15°C
$24,210 KL.
<1%
16°C
$26,811 KL.
<1%
17°C
$36,054 KL.
<1%
18°C
$20,639 KL.
100%
19°C
$19,980 KL.
<1%
20°C or higher
$6,601 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, which underpins the market’s overwhelming consensus for that exact outcome. Official observations and model runs indicate stable atmospheric conditions without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification that could push temperatures higher, while historical May averages for the region sit near 16–17°C. Traders appear to weigh the low likelihood of late-day revisions from additional solar heating or frontal shifts, though an unexpected reduction in cloud cover or stronger southerly winds could still nudge the verified high slightly above or below the 18°C threshold before official confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$171,580Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, which underpins the market’s overwhelming consensus for that exact outcome. Official observations and model runs indicate stable atmospheric conditions without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification that could push temperatures higher, while historical May averages for the region sit near 16–17°C. Traders appear to weigh the low likelihood of late-day revisions from additional solar heating or frontal shifts, though an unexpected reduction in cloud cover or stronger southerly winds could still nudge the verified high slightly above or below the 18°C threshold before official confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$171,580Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, which underpins the market’s overwhelming consensus for that exact outcome. Official observations and model runs indicate stable atmospheric conditions without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification that could push temperatures higher, while historical May averages for the region sit near 16–17°C. Traders appear to weigh the low likelihood of late-day revisions from additional solar heating or frontal shifts, though an unexpected reduction in cloud cover or stronger southerly winds could still nudge the verified high slightly above or below the 18°C threshold before official confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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