**Trader consensus on 34°C as the highest temperature in Lucknow on September 9, 2026, reflects official India Meteorological Department observations from Lucknow Airport recording a daily maximum of 34.6°C amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 88% at 0830 IST, and nil rainfall.** September monsoon conditions typically moderate peaks through afternoon convection and scattered thunderstorms, aligning with multiple forecasts projecting highs of 32–34°C (or ~93°F). Model consensus and real-time METAR data showing afternoon readings near 34°C, combined with limited intensification potential from northwest winds and haze, underpin the near-certain market-implied probability. A shift in final verified maximum—such as from revised station data, localized microclimate effects, or measurement timing—remains the primary realistic scenario that could alter resolution, though current evidence strongly supports this outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 9?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$24,908 KL.
$24,908 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$24,908 KL.
$24,908 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on 34°C as the highest temperature in Lucknow on September 9, 2026, reflects official India Meteorological Department observations from Lucknow Airport recording a daily maximum of 34.6°C amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 88% at 0830 IST, and nil rainfall.** September monsoon conditions typically moderate peaks through afternoon convection and scattered thunderstorms, aligning with multiple forecasts projecting highs of 32–34°C (or ~93°F). Model consensus and real-time METAR data showing afternoon readings near 34°C, combined with limited intensification potential from northwest winds and haze, underpin the near-certain market-implied probability. A shift in final verified maximum—such as from revised station data, localized microclimate effects, or measurement timing—remains the primary realistic scenario that could alter resolution, though current evidence strongly supports this outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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