Current meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from Italian agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 21°C in Milan on May 17, driving the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions across northern Italy, combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover, have produced gradual daytime warming consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 20–23°C. Official surface measurements through the afternoon show the peak aligning precisely with this threshold, with minimal deviation expected before sunset. Minor adjustments in station siting or microscale cooling could theoretically shift the recorded high by 1°C, but prevailing atmospheric stability makes such divergence unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on May 17?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$44,909 KL.
$44,909 KL.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$44,909 KL.
$44,909 KL.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCCurrent meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from Italian agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 21°C in Milan on May 17, driving the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions across northern Italy, combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover, have produced gradual daytime warming consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 20–23°C. Official surface measurements through the afternoon show the peak aligning precisely with this threshold, with minimal deviation expected before sunset. Minor adjustments in station siting or microscale cooling could theoretically shift the recorded high by 1°C, but prevailing atmospheric stability makes such divergence unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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