Recent heavy rain and thunderstorms across northern Italy on September 9–10 have introduced cooler, more stable air behind a frontal passage, setting the stage for moderate highs on September 11. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a peak of 24–25 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and limited moisture return, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on those two outcomes. Model spread remains modest for this short-range period, with only isolated runs suggesting 26 °C if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations; historical early-September baselines after similar cool outbreaks support the current implied probabilities near 24–25 °C. Updated guidance from national meteorological services on September 10 will provide the next key data point ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on September 11?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 11?
25°C 44%
26°C 26%
24°C 24%
27°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
24%
25°C
44%
26°C
26%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
2%
25°C 44%
26°C 26%
24°C 24%
27°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
18°C or below
$381 KL.
<1%
19°C
$537 KL.
<1%
20°C
$269 KL.
1%
21°C
$21 KL.
1%
22°C
$102 KL.
2%
23°C
$74 KL.
5%
24°C
$267 KL.
24%
25°C
$155 KL.
44%
26°C
$169 KL.
26%
27°C
$6 KL.
6%
28°C or higher
$60 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rain and thunderstorms across northern Italy on September 9–10 have introduced cooler, more stable air behind a frontal passage, setting the stage for moderate highs on September 11. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a peak of 24–25 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and limited moisture return, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on those two outcomes. Model spread remains modest for this short-range period, with only isolated runs suggesting 26 °C if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations; historical early-September baselines after similar cool outbreaks support the current implied probabilities near 24–25 °C. Updated guidance from national meteorological services on September 10 will provide the next key data point ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,040Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rain and thunderstorms across northern Italy on September 9–10 have introduced cooler, more stable air behind a frontal passage, setting the stage for moderate highs on September 11. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a peak of 24–25 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and limited moisture return, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on those two outcomes. Model spread remains modest for this short-range period, with only isolated runs suggesting 26 °C if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations; historical early-September baselines after similar cool outbreaks support the current implied probabilities near 24–25 °C. Updated guidance from national meteorological services on September 10 will provide the next key data point ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,040Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rain and thunderstorms across northern Italy on September 9–10 have introduced cooler, more stable air behind a frontal passage, setting the stage for moderate highs on September 11. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a peak of 24–25 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and limited moisture return, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on those two outcomes. Model spread remains modest for this short-range period, with only isolated runs suggesting 26 °C if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations; historical early-September baselines after similar cool outbreaks support the current implied probabilities near 24–25 °C. Updated guidance from national meteorological services on September 10 will provide the next key data point ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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