The overwhelming 100% market-implied probability for a 76-77°F high temperature in New York City on May 16 reflects official National Weather Service surface observations confirming that peak reading at Central Park. A persistent high-pressure ridge suppressed daytime heating and limited moisture, keeping maximum temperatures aligned with seasonal norms rather than the warmer outliers sometimes driven by southerly flow. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 73°F, providing context for why this outcome dominated trader positioning. Minor adjustments to preliminary data or alternate station readings remain the only realistic factors that could shift resolution, though such revisions occur infrequently after initial verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 100.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$181,485 KL.
$181,485 KL.
May 16, 2026
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 100.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$181,485 KL.
$181,485 KL.
May 16, 2026
76-77°F
$44,979 KL.
100%
78-79°F
$26,875 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$30,907 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$22,880 KL.
<1%
84°F or higher
$16,863 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming 100% market-implied probability for a 76-77°F high temperature in New York City on May 16 reflects official National Weather Service surface observations confirming that peak reading at Central Park. A persistent high-pressure ridge suppressed daytime heating and limited moisture, keeping maximum temperatures aligned with seasonal norms rather than the warmer outliers sometimes driven by southerly flow. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 73°F, providing context for why this outcome dominated trader positioning. Minor adjustments to preliminary data or alternate station readings remain the only realistic factors that could shift resolution, though such revisions occur infrequently after initial verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$181,485Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming 100% market-implied probability for a 76-77°F high temperature in New York City on May 16 reflects official National Weather Service surface observations confirming that peak reading at Central Park. A persistent high-pressure ridge suppressed daytime heating and limited moisture, keeping maximum temperatures aligned with seasonal norms rather than the warmer outliers sometimes driven by southerly flow. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 73°F, providing context for why this outcome dominated trader positioning. Minor adjustments to preliminary data or alternate station readings remain the only realistic factors that could shift resolution, though such revisions occur infrequently after initial verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$181,485Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming 100% market-implied probability for a 76-77°F high temperature in New York City on May 16 reflects official National Weather Service surface observations confirming that peak reading at Central Park. A persistent high-pressure ridge suppressed daytime heating and limited moisture, keeping maximum temperatures aligned with seasonal norms rather than the warmer outliers sometimes driven by southerly flow. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 73°F, providing context for why this outcome dominated trader positioning. Minor adjustments to preliminary data or alternate station readings remain the only realistic factors that could shift resolution, though such revisions occur infrequently after initial verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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