Recent high-resolution forecasts from Brazil's INMET and international models show atmospheric stability over São Paulo with daytime maxima reaching exactly 22°C on May 17, driven by typical autumn subsidence and minimal moisture advection. This consensus underpins the 98.5% market-implied probability for 22°C, consistent with climatological averages for mid-May when highs rarely deviate beyond 21–23°C absent major frontal systems. Traders price in low odds for 23°C or higher because current model runs lack the warm-air influx or clear-sky radiative heating needed for further warming. A shift could occur only if updated runs reveal stronger northerly flow or reduced cloud cover boosting surface temperatures beyond the current 22°C threshold before evening cooling sets in.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 17?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 17?
22°C 99.6%
23°C or higher <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$58,985 KL.
$58,985 KL.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.6%
23°C or higher <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$58,985 KL.
$58,985 KL.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$2,459 KL.
<1%
14°C
$710 KL.
<1%
15°C
$1,223 KL.
<1%
16°C
$1,471 KL.
<1%
17°C
$1,226 KL.
<1%
18°C
$3,599 KL.
<1%
19°C
$2,217 KL.
<1%
20°C
$7,983 KL.
<1%
21°C
$14,140 KL.
<1%
22°C
$12,330 KL.
100%
23°C or higher
$11,937 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent high-resolution forecasts from Brazil's INMET and international models show atmospheric stability over São Paulo with daytime maxima reaching exactly 22°C on May 17, driven by typical autumn subsidence and minimal moisture advection. This consensus underpins the 98.5% market-implied probability for 22°C, consistent with climatological averages for mid-May when highs rarely deviate beyond 21–23°C absent major frontal systems. Traders price in low odds for 23°C or higher because current model runs lack the warm-air influx or clear-sky radiative heating needed for further warming. A shift could occur only if updated runs reveal stronger northerly flow or reduced cloud cover boosting surface temperatures beyond the current 22°C threshold before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$58,985Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent high-resolution forecasts from Brazil's INMET and international models show atmospheric stability over São Paulo with daytime maxima reaching exactly 22°C on May 17, driven by typical autumn subsidence and minimal moisture advection. This consensus underpins the 98.5% market-implied probability for 22°C, consistent with climatological averages for mid-May when highs rarely deviate beyond 21–23°C absent major frontal systems. Traders price in low odds for 23°C or higher because current model runs lack the warm-air influx or clear-sky radiative heating needed for further warming. A shift could occur only if updated runs reveal stronger northerly flow or reduced cloud cover boosting surface temperatures beyond the current 22°C threshold before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$58,985Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRRecent high-resolution forecasts from Brazil's INMET and international models show atmospheric stability over São Paulo with daytime maxima reaching exactly 22°C on May 17, driven by typical autumn subsidence and minimal moisture advection. This consensus underpins the 98.5% market-implied probability for 22°C, consistent with climatological averages for mid-May when highs rarely deviate beyond 21–23°C absent major frontal systems. Traders price in low odds for 23°C or higher because current model runs lack the warm-air influx or clear-sky radiative heating needed for further warming. A shift could occur only if updated runs reveal stronger northerly flow or reduced cloud cover boosting surface temperatures beyond the current 22°C threshold before evening cooling sets in.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp