Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Seoul point to a typical mid-May diurnal warming cycle under transitional spring conditions, with ensemble models converging on a daily maximum in the 23–25 °C range. Light southerly flow ahead of a weak trough is expected to advect modestly warmer air, while variable cloud cover and light winds will limit extreme surface heating. Historical climatology places May 19 averages near 23 °C, and current guidance shows no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky anomaly that would push readings to 26 °C or above. Traders are therefore weighting the closely bunched 23–25 °C outcomes, awaiting the final 48-hour model runs and local observations that will determine the precise peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul on May 19?
25°C 25%
26°C 24%
23°C 23%
24°C 21%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
20%
23°C
23%
24°C
21%
25°C
27%
26°C
22%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
3%
25°C 25%
26°C 24%
23°C 23%
24°C 21%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
20%
23°C
23%
24°C
21%
25°C
27%
26°C
22%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Seoul point to a typical mid-May diurnal warming cycle under transitional spring conditions, with ensemble models converging on a daily maximum in the 23–25 °C range. Light southerly flow ahead of a weak trough is expected to advect modestly warmer air, while variable cloud cover and light winds will limit extreme surface heating. Historical climatology places May 19 averages near 23 °C, and current guidance shows no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky anomaly that would push readings to 26 °C or above. Traders are therefore weighting the closely bunched 23–25 °C outcomes, awaiting the final 48-hour model runs and local observations that will determine the precise peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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