**Recent observational data from Zhengzhou meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 24°C, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome.** A surge of cooler northerly air has suppressed daytime highs well below late-August climatological norms of around 31°C, with multiple forecasts and real-time readings converging on this value amid overcast skies and light northeast winds. Official agency guidance from regional meteorological services supports limited afternoon warming potential. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders incorporating verified station reports rather than models alone. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unforecast late-day spike exceeding 24°C due to unexpected clearing or model error, though current conditions make such a shift highly improbable before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 28?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 28?
24°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$5,449 KL.
$5,449 KL.
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$5,449 KL.
$5,449 KL.
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$220 KL.
No
23°C
$115 KL.
No
24°C
$1,400 KL.
Yes
25°C
$283 KL.
No
26°C
$465 KL.
No
27°C
$397 KL.
No
28°C
$595 KL.
No
29°C
$1,337 KL.
No
30°C
$383 KL.
No
31°C
$135 KL.
No
32°C or higher
$120 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent observational data from Zhengzhou meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 24°C, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome.** A surge of cooler northerly air has suppressed daytime highs well below late-August climatological norms of around 31°C, with multiple forecasts and real-time readings converging on this value amid overcast skies and light northeast winds. Official agency guidance from regional meteorological services supports limited afternoon warming potential. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders incorporating verified station reports rather than models alone. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unforecast late-day spike exceeding 24°C due to unexpected clearing or model error, though current conditions make such a shift highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,449Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent observational data from Zhengzhou meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 24°C, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome.** A surge of cooler northerly air has suppressed daytime highs well below late-August climatological norms of around 31°C, with multiple forecasts and real-time readings converging on this value amid overcast skies and light northeast winds. Official agency guidance from regional meteorological services supports limited afternoon warming potential. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders incorporating verified station reports rather than models alone. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unforecast late-day spike exceeding 24°C due to unexpected clearing or model error, though current conditions make such a shift highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,449Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Recent observational data from Zhengzhou meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 24°C, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome.** A surge of cooler northerly air has suppressed daytime highs well below late-August climatological norms of around 31°C, with multiple forecasts and real-time readings converging on this value amid overcast skies and light northeast winds. Official agency guidance from regional meteorological services supports limited afternoon warming potential. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders incorporating verified station reports rather than models alone. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unforecast late-day spike exceeding 24°C due to unexpected clearing or model error, though current conditions make such a shift highly improbable before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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