Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center indicate Zhengzhou's overnight low on August 30 will settle near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds of 2–6 mph and dew points around 18–20°C, supporting moderate radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection. This aligns with late-August climatology where average lows reach 22°C amid declining solar angles and typical humidity of 50–65%. Urban heat island effects in the city center further temper extremes, while recent high pressure has suppressed precipitation and cloud cover that could otherwise raise minima. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because small variations in wind speed or residual moisture could shift the outcome by 1°C, with official station readings expected to resolve the market by early September 1.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 30?
22°C 47%
23°C 47%
21°C 46%
24°C 46%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
44%
19°C
44%
20°C
19%
21°C
46%
22°C
47%
23°C
47%
24°C
46%
25°C or higher
6%
22°C 47%
23°C 47%
21°C 46%
24°C 46%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
44%
19°C
44%
20°C
19%
21°C
46%
22°C
47%
23°C
47%
24°C
46%
25°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center indicate Zhengzhou's overnight low on August 30 will settle near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds of 2–6 mph and dew points around 18–20°C, supporting moderate radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection. This aligns with late-August climatology where average lows reach 22°C amid declining solar angles and typical humidity of 50–65%. Urban heat island effects in the city center further temper extremes, while recent high pressure has suppressed precipitation and cloud cover that could otherwise raise minima. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because small variations in wind speed or residual moisture could shift the outcome by 1°C, with official station readings expected to resolve the market by early September 1.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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