**Forecast models for Zhengzhou on August 31, 2026, consistently project a sunny or mostly clear day with highs in the low-to-mid 30s °C.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (89°F/32°C), Yr.no (32°C), WindBorne (34°C), Ventusky (~33°C), and the Met Office (34°C), indicate strong daytime heating under light northeast winds and minimal cloud cover. August has featured above-normal temperatures across Henan, with earlier peaks reaching 35°C amid subtropical high pressure maintaining hot, humid conditions. As this ridge begins to ease, recent shifts toward drier air and clearer skies are sustaining elevated maxima rather than triggering rapid cooling. Historical late-August baselines for Zhengzhou hover near 30–32°C, and the absence of significant frontal passages or increased cloudiness supports the market-implied odds favoring 32°C or higher (57.5%) over lower bins. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from global models showing peak solar insolation and stable high-pressure steering, with limited downside risk from precipitation or northerly advection in the immediate forecast window. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31?
32°C or higher 56%
31°C 25%
30°C 19%
29°C 4%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
19%
31°C
25%
32°C or higher
56%
32°C or higher 56%
31°C 25%
30°C 19%
29°C 4%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
19%
31°C
25%
32°C or higher
56%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Zhengzhou on August 31, 2026, consistently project a sunny or mostly clear day with highs in the low-to-mid 30s °C.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (89°F/32°C), Yr.no (32°C), WindBorne (34°C), Ventusky (~33°C), and the Met Office (34°C), indicate strong daytime heating under light northeast winds and minimal cloud cover. August has featured above-normal temperatures across Henan, with earlier peaks reaching 35°C amid subtropical high pressure maintaining hot, humid conditions. As this ridge begins to ease, recent shifts toward drier air and clearer skies are sustaining elevated maxima rather than triggering rapid cooling. Historical late-August baselines for Zhengzhou hover near 30–32°C, and the absence of significant frontal passages or increased cloudiness supports the market-implied odds favoring 32°C or higher (57.5%) over lower bins. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from global models showing peak solar insolation and stable high-pressure steering, with limited downside risk from precipitation or northerly advection in the immediate forecast window. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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