**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight are the main drivers keeping trader focus on a 17–20 °C minimum for Zhengzhou on 31 August.** Multiple models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) indicate radiational cooling under calm conditions after a sunny day with highs near 32–34 °C, with surface dew points around 17–19 °C limiting how far temperatures can fall. Recent late-August cooling—daily minima near 20–21 °C on 28–29 August—has narrowed the distribution, while light winds (3–6 km/h) reduce mixing and allow pockets of slightly cooler air near the official station. Traders assign roughly equal weight to 19 °C and 20 °C because ensemble spreads and minor variations in cloud timing or exact measurement hour can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C; outcomes below 17 °C or above 21 °C remain low-probability given the stable, dry pattern. Updated model guidance tonight will be the next key input before the day closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31?
17°C 49%
19°C 26%
20°C 26%
18°C 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
49%
18°C
17%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
17°C 49%
19°C 26%
20°C 26%
18°C 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
15°C or below
$26 KL.
1%
16°C
$291 KL.
1%
17°C
$26 KL.
49%
18°C
$31 KL.
17%
19°C
$0 KL.
26%
20°C
$0 KL.
26%
21°C
$194 KL.
2%
22°C
$200 KL.
2%
23°C
$55 KL.
<1%
24°C
$71 KL.
1%
25°C or higher
$207 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight are the main drivers keeping trader focus on a 17–20 °C minimum for Zhengzhou on 31 August.** Multiple models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) indicate radiational cooling under calm conditions after a sunny day with highs near 32–34 °C, with surface dew points around 17–19 °C limiting how far temperatures can fall. Recent late-August cooling—daily minima near 20–21 °C on 28–29 August—has narrowed the distribution, while light winds (3–6 km/h) reduce mixing and allow pockets of slightly cooler air near the official station. Traders assign roughly equal weight to 19 °C and 20 °C because ensemble spreads and minor variations in cloud timing or exact measurement hour can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C; outcomes below 17 °C or above 21 °C remain low-probability given the stable, dry pattern. Updated model guidance tonight will be the next key input before the day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,082Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight are the main drivers keeping trader focus on a 17–20 °C minimum for Zhengzhou on 31 August.** Multiple models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) indicate radiational cooling under calm conditions after a sunny day with highs near 32–34 °C, with surface dew points around 17–19 °C limiting how far temperatures can fall. Recent late-August cooling—daily minima near 20–21 °C on 28–29 August—has narrowed the distribution, while light winds (3–6 km/h) reduce mixing and allow pockets of slightly cooler air near the official station. Traders assign roughly equal weight to 19 °C and 20 °C because ensemble spreads and minor variations in cloud timing or exact measurement hour can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C; outcomes below 17 °C or above 21 °C remain low-probability given the stable, dry pattern. Updated model guidance tonight will be the next key input before the day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,082Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight are the main drivers keeping trader focus on a 17–20 °C minimum for Zhengzhou on 31 August.** Multiple models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) indicate radiational cooling under calm conditions after a sunny day with highs near 32–34 °C, with surface dew points around 17–19 °C limiting how far temperatures can fall. Recent late-August cooling—daily minima near 20–21 °C on 28–29 August—has narrowed the distribution, while light winds (3–6 km/h) reduce mixing and allow pockets of slightly cooler air near the official station. Traders assign roughly equal weight to 19 °C and 20 °C because ensemble spreads and minor variations in cloud timing or exact measurement hour can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C; outcomes below 17 °C or above 21 °C remain low-probability given the stable, dry pattern. Updated model guidance tonight will be the next key input before the day closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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