Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread thunderstorms are keeping Shenzhen's overnight lows pinned near 25–26°C for August 31, with forecast models showing only modest overnight cooling amid dew points near 25°C and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. Light variable winds and high humidity further suppress the diurnal range, while the absence of stronger cold-air advection or clearing skies prevents sharper drops. Trader consensus favoring 26°C or 25°C reflects this narrow envelope, with lower outcomes requiring an unusually strong nocturnal drainage or timing shift in precipitation that current guidance does not support. Updated model runs and official local observations over the next 48 hours will determine the precise minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31?
32°C or higher 76%
26°C 53%
29°C 50%
28°C 47%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
38%
23°C
37%
24°C
40%
25°C
43%
26°C
53%
27°C
39%
28°C
47%
29°C
50%
30°C
2%
31°C
46%
32°C or higher
76%
32°C or higher 76%
26°C 53%
29°C 50%
28°C 47%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
$0 KL.
38%
23°C
$0 KL.
37%
24°C
$0 KL.
40%
25°C
$0 KL.
43%
26°C
$0 KL.
53%
27°C
$0 KL.
39%
28°C
$0 KL.
47%
29°C
$0 KL.
50%
30°C
$0 KL.
2%
31°C
$0 KL.
46%
32°C or higher
$130 KL.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread thunderstorms are keeping Shenzhen's overnight lows pinned near 25–26°C for August 31, with forecast models showing only modest overnight cooling amid dew points near 25°C and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. Light variable winds and high humidity further suppress the diurnal range, while the absence of stronger cold-air advection or clearing skies prevents sharper drops. Trader consensus favoring 26°C or 25°C reflects this narrow envelope, with lower outcomes requiring an unusually strong nocturnal drainage or timing shift in precipitation that current guidance does not support. Updated model runs and official local observations over the next 48 hours will determine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$130Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread thunderstorms are keeping Shenzhen's overnight lows pinned near 25–26°C for August 31, with forecast models showing only modest overnight cooling amid dew points near 25°C and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. Light variable winds and high humidity further suppress the diurnal range, while the absence of stronger cold-air advection or clearing skies prevents sharper drops. Trader consensus favoring 26°C or 25°C reflects this narrow envelope, with lower outcomes requiring an unusually strong nocturnal drainage or timing shift in precipitation that current guidance does not support. Updated model runs and official local observations over the next 48 hours will determine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$130Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread thunderstorms are keeping Shenzhen's overnight lows pinned near 25–26°C for August 31, with forecast models showing only modest overnight cooling amid dew points near 25°C and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. Light variable winds and high humidity further suppress the diurnal range, while the absence of stronger cold-air advection or clearing skies prevents sharper drops. Trader consensus favoring 26°C or 25°C reflects this narrow envelope, with lower outcomes requiring an unusually strong nocturnal drainage or timing shift in precipitation that current guidance does not support. Updated model runs and official local observations over the next 48 hours will determine the precise minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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