Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24, with 36 seats contested in November 2026 and each party defending 18. Trader sentiment clusters around modest net losses for the GOP because the midterm cycle coincides with an incumbent Republican president, open seats created by term limits in states such as Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, and several toss-up or lean contests rated by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Recent primary outcomes and shifting forecasts in Iowa and Ohio have kept probabilities for 22–25 Republican governors tightly bunched. Further movement could come from polling trends in battleground states, candidate recruitment for open seats, national economic indicators, or turnout patterns that favor one party’s slate over the other.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCó bao nhiêu Thống đốc đảng Cộng hòa sau cuộc bầu cử giữa nhiệm kỳ năm 2026?
Có bao nhiêu Thống đốc đảng Cộng hòa sau cuộc bầu cử giữa nhiệm kỳ năm 2026?
<22 27%
22–23 27%
24–25 22%
26–27 17%
$689,155 KL.
$689,155 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
<22
27%
22–23
28%
24–25
22%
26–27
17%
28–29
3%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
<22 27%
22–23 27%
24–25 22%
26–27 17%
$689,155 KL.
$689,155 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
<22
$48,333 KL.
27%
22–23
$9,235 KL.
28%
24–25
$32,165 KL.
22%
26–27
$17,775 KL.
17%
28–29
$557,789 KL.
3%
30–31
$8,312 KL.
1%
32+
$15,546 KL.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24, with 36 seats contested in November 2026 and each party defending 18. Trader sentiment clusters around modest net losses for the GOP because the midterm cycle coincides with an incumbent Republican president, open seats created by term limits in states such as Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, and several toss-up or lean contests rated by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Recent primary outcomes and shifting forecasts in Iowa and Ohio have kept probabilities for 22–25 Republican governors tightly bunched. Further movement could come from polling trends in battleground states, candidate recruitment for open seats, national economic indicators, or turnout patterns that favor one party’s slate over the other.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Khối lượng
$689,155Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24, with 36 seats contested in November 2026 and each party defending 18. Trader sentiment clusters around modest net losses for the GOP because the midterm cycle coincides with an incumbent Republican president, open seats created by term limits in states such as Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, and several toss-up or lean contests rated by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Recent primary outcomes and shifting forecasts in Iowa and Ohio have kept probabilities for 22–25 Republican governors tightly bunched. Further movement could come from polling trends in battleground states, candidate recruitment for open seats, national economic indicators, or turnout patterns that favor one party’s slate over the other.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$689,155Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24, with 36 seats contested in November 2026 and each party defending 18. Trader sentiment clusters around modest net losses for the GOP because the midterm cycle coincides with an incumbent Republican president, open seats created by term limits in states such as Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, and several toss-up or lean contests rated by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Recent primary outcomes and shifting forecasts in Iowa and Ohio have kept probabilities for 22–25 Republican governors tightly bunched. Further movement could come from polling trends in battleground states, candidate recruitment for open seats, national economic indicators, or turnout patterns that favor one party’s slate over the other.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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