Recent acceleration in U.S. services activity, highlighted by August’s ISM Services PMI jumping to 55.4 from July’s 54.1 and beating consensus near 54.2, anchors trader focus for the September reading. Strong gains in business activity (61.7) and new orders (60.9) alongside rising inventories signal robust demand, yet persistent price pressures at 72.6 and a second straight month of contracting employment (47.8) create offsetting risks of moderation. With probabilities tightly distributed across the 54–58 range, markets price in uncertainty over whether momentum holds into September or reverts toward the 12-month average near 53 amid cautious hiring and elevated costs. The October release will resolve the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật54.0 to 54.9 26%
55.0 to 55.9 24%
53.0 to 53.9 18%
56.0 to 56.9 15%
<51.0
2%
51.0 to 51.9
9%
52.0 to 52.9
11%
53.0 to 53.9
18%
54.0 to 54.9
26%
55.0 to 55.9
24%
56.0 to 56.9
15%
57.0 to 57.9
7%
58.0 to 58.9
9%
59.0+
8%
54.0 to 54.9 26%
55.0 to 55.9 24%
53.0 to 53.9 18%
56.0 to 56.9 15%
<51.0
2%
51.0 to 51.9
9%
52.0 to 52.9
11%
53.0 to 53.9
18%
54.0 to 54.9
26%
55.0 to 55.9
24%
56.0 to 56.9
15%
57.0 to 57.9
7%
58.0 to 58.9
9%
59.0+
8%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent acceleration in U.S. services activity, highlighted by August’s ISM Services PMI jumping to 55.4 from July’s 54.1 and beating consensus near 54.2, anchors trader focus for the September reading. Strong gains in business activity (61.7) and new orders (60.9) alongside rising inventories signal robust demand, yet persistent price pressures at 72.6 and a second straight month of contracting employment (47.8) create offsetting risks of moderation. With probabilities tightly distributed across the 54–58 range, markets price in uncertainty over whether momentum holds into September or reverts toward the 12-month average near 53 amid cautious hiring and elevated costs. The October release will resolve the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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