Escalations in the Israel-Iran conflict have repeatedly prompted temporary Israeli airspace closures since February 2026, following U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and subsequent Iranian missile and drone retaliation across the region. Multiple closures and phased reopenings occurred through July amid renewed military activity, including intercepts of projectiles from Yemen and breakdowns in related ceasefires, with EASA maintaining caution advisories for the Tel Aviv FIR due to spillover risks. As of mid-August 2026, the airspace remains open per official assessments, though traders monitor ongoing diplomatic postures, potential new strikes, and regional security assessments that could trigger short-notice shutdowns for civilian flights.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$27,127,059 KL.
Jul 15, 2026
August 31
3%
$27,127,059 KL.
August 31
$1,095,178 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Escalations in the Israel-Iran conflict have repeatedly prompted temporary Israeli airspace closures since February 2026, following U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and subsequent Iranian missile and drone retaliation across the region. Multiple closures and phased reopenings occurred through July amid renewed military activity, including intercepts of projectiles from Yemen and breakdowns in related ceasefires, with EASA maintaining caution advisories for the Tel Aviv FIR due to spillover risks. As of mid-August 2026, the airspace remains open per official assessments, though traders monitor ongoing diplomatic postures, potential new strikes, and regional security assessments that could trigger short-notice shutdowns for civilian flights.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 29, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Khối lượng
$27,127,059Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 29, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Escalations in the Israel-Iran conflict have repeatedly prompted temporary Israeli airspace closures since February 2026, following U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and subsequent Iranian missile and drone retaliation across the region. Multiple closures and phased reopenings occurred through July amid renewed military activity, including intercepts of projectiles from Yemen and breakdowns in related ceasefires, with EASA maintaining caution advisories for the Tel Aviv FIR due to spillover risks. As of mid-August 2026, the airspace remains open per official assessments, though traders monitor ongoing diplomatic postures, potential new strikes, and regional security assessments that could trigger short-notice shutdowns for civilian flights.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$27,127,059Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 29, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Escalations in the Israel-Iran conflict have repeatedly prompted temporary Israeli airspace closures since February 2026, following U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and subsequent Iranian missile and drone retaliation across the region. Multiple closures and phased reopenings occurred through July amid renewed military activity, including intercepts of projectiles from Yemen and breakdowns in related ceasefires, with EASA maintaining caution advisories for the Tel Aviv FIR due to spillover risks. As of mid-August 2026, the airspace remains open per official assessments, though traders monitor ongoing diplomatic postures, potential new strikes, and regional security assessments that could trigger short-notice shutdowns for civilian flights.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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