The Department of Justice dropped its criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on April 24, 2026, after a probe opened in January focused on his congressional testimony regarding the central bank's headquarters renovation costs. This closure has anchored trader sentiment, producing low implied probabilities for federal charges by year-end amid Powell's continued emphasis on monetary policy independence. Recent FOMC communications and stable economic data releases, including inflation and labor market indicators, have reinforced expectations of policy continuity without new legal developments. With no active subpoenas or filings reported since April, upcoming catalysts remain limited to routine Fed meetings and potential personnel shifts in 2027, keeping market-implied odds for charges minimal while underscoring the high bar for any revival.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$318,661 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
5%
$318,661 KL.
December 31, 2026
$2,216 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Department of Justice dropped its criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on April 24, 2026, after a probe opened in January focused on his congressional testimony regarding the central bank's headquarters renovation costs. This closure has anchored trader sentiment, producing low implied probabilities for federal charges by year-end amid Powell's continued emphasis on monetary policy independence. Recent FOMC communications and stable economic data releases, including inflation and labor market indicators, have reinforced expectations of policy continuity without new legal developments. With no active subpoenas or filings reported since April, upcoming catalysts remain limited to routine Fed meetings and potential personnel shifts in 2027, keeping market-implied odds for charges minimal while underscoring the high bar for any revival.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$318,661Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Department of Justice dropped its criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on April 24, 2026, after a probe opened in January focused on his congressional testimony regarding the central bank's headquarters renovation costs. This closure has anchored trader sentiment, producing low implied probabilities for federal charges by year-end amid Powell's continued emphasis on monetary policy independence. Recent FOMC communications and stable economic data releases, including inflation and labor market indicators, have reinforced expectations of policy continuity without new legal developments. With no active subpoenas or filings reported since April, upcoming catalysts remain limited to routine Fed meetings and potential personnel shifts in 2027, keeping market-implied odds for charges minimal while underscoring the high bar for any revival.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$318,661Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Department of Justice dropped its criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on April 24, 2026, after a probe opened in January focused on his congressional testimony regarding the central bank's headquarters renovation costs. This closure has anchored trader sentiment, producing low implied probabilities for federal charges by year-end amid Powell's continued emphasis on monetary policy independence. Recent FOMC communications and stable economic data releases, including inflation and labor market indicators, have reinforced expectations of policy continuity without new legal developments. With no active subpoenas or filings reported since April, upcoming catalysts remain limited to routine Fed meetings and potential personnel shifts in 2027, keeping market-implied odds for charges minimal while underscoring the high bar for any revival.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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