The market on Khamenei social media activity for August 21–28, 2026, shows trader consensus favoring low volume, with the under-5 range priced highest at 57.5 percent. This positioning stems from the established pattern of infrequent official posts by the Supreme Leader’s account following the March 2026 leadership transition, where Mojtaba Khamenei’s @MKhamenei_ir channel issues targeted statements on appointments, regional policy, and resistance themes rather than daily commentary. Recent activity around August 10 included several announcements on IRGC command changes, yet overall cadence remains limited absent major escalations or summits. Multiple mid-range buckets trading near 20 percent each reflect uncertainty over any late-August diplomatic or security developments that could prompt additional messaging, while higher-volume outcomes stay discounted given historical base rates for the account.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKhamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
<5 57%
40-44 39%
45-49 39%
50-54 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
<5
57%
5-9
23%
10-14
21%
15-19
21%
20-24
22%
25-29
20%
30-34
20%
35-39
20%
40-44
39%
45-49
39%
50-54
39%
55-59
39%
60+
34%
<5 57%
40-44 39%
45-49 39%
50-54 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
<5
$15 KL.
57%
5-9
$0 KL.
23%
10-14
$0 KL.
21%
15-19
$0 KL.
21%
20-24
$0 KL.
22%
25-29
$0 KL.
20%
30-34
$0 KL.
20%
35-39
$0 KL.
20%
40-44
$5 KL.
39%
45-49
$5 KL.
39%
50-54
$5 KL.
39%
55-59
$5 KL.
39%
60+
$5 KL.
34%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market on Khamenei social media activity for August 21–28, 2026, shows trader consensus favoring low volume, with the under-5 range priced highest at 57.5 percent. This positioning stems from the established pattern of infrequent official posts by the Supreme Leader’s account following the March 2026 leadership transition, where Mojtaba Khamenei’s @MKhamenei_ir channel issues targeted statements on appointments, regional policy, and resistance themes rather than daily commentary. Recent activity around August 10 included several announcements on IRGC command changes, yet overall cadence remains limited absent major escalations or summits. Multiple mid-range buckets trading near 20 percent each reflect uncertainty over any late-August diplomatic or security developments that could prompt additional messaging, while higher-volume outcomes stay discounted given historical base rates for the account.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$40Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market on Khamenei social media activity for August 21–28, 2026, shows trader consensus favoring low volume, with the under-5 range priced highest at 57.5 percent. This positioning stems from the established pattern of infrequent official posts by the Supreme Leader’s account following the March 2026 leadership transition, where Mojtaba Khamenei’s @MKhamenei_ir channel issues targeted statements on appointments, regional policy, and resistance themes rather than daily commentary. Recent activity around August 10 included several announcements on IRGC command changes, yet overall cadence remains limited absent major escalations or summits. Multiple mid-range buckets trading near 20 percent each reflect uncertainty over any late-August diplomatic or security developments that could prompt additional messaging, while higher-volume outcomes stay discounted given historical base rates for the account.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$40Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market on Khamenei social media activity for August 21–28, 2026, shows trader consensus favoring low volume, with the under-5 range priced highest at 57.5 percent. This positioning stems from the established pattern of infrequent official posts by the Supreme Leader’s account following the March 2026 leadership transition, where Mojtaba Khamenei’s @MKhamenei_ir channel issues targeted statements on appointments, regional policy, and resistance themes rather than daily commentary. Recent activity around August 10 included several announcements on IRGC command changes, yet overall cadence remains limited absent major escalations or summits. Multiple mid-range buckets trading near 20 percent each reflect uncertainty over any late-August diplomatic or security developments that could prompt additional messaging, while higher-volume outcomes stay discounted given historical base rates for the account.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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