The commanding trader consensus on fewer than five posts by Khamenei accounts during the week of September 15–22 stems from the established pattern of measured activity on official channels such as @khamenei_ir and affiliated language accounts. These profiles typically issue statements, archival quotes, or event-linked updates at a low cadence, with recent examples showing gaps of several days between posts even amid regional developments. Primary-source patterns indicate volume remains modest absent acute triggers like major diplomatic shifts, military escalations, or high-profile domestic announcements that would require rapid official responses. A late-week surge could still occur if scheduled events or breaking developments prompt multiple coordinated releases across verified handles within the resolution period.