Traders assign overwhelming probability to fewer than five posts from Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s official X account during the September 18–25 window, reflecting the account’s established pattern of infrequent official statements rather than daily commentary. The profile, launched earlier in 2026, has issued sporadic releases focused on regime messaging amid ongoing regional tensions with the United States and Israel, without evidence of accelerated output even during active conflict phases. Primary drivers include institutional preference for measured, high-impact declarations over volume, combined with limited recent activity in early September. A sustained spike beyond this range would require multiple discrete official announcements tied to major diplomatic, military, or internal developments within the narrow resolution period, an outcome traders currently view as low-probability given historical cadence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKhamenei # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?
Khamenei # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?
<5 93%
5-9 3.4%
10-14 2.1%
15-19 2.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
<5
93%
5-9
3%
10-14
2%
15-19
2%
20-24
2%
25-29
2%
30-34
2%
35-39
2%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 93%
5-9 3.4%
10-14 2.1%
15-19 2.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
<5
$696 KL.
93%
5-9
$5 KL.
3%
10-14
$55 KL.
2%
15-19
$55 KL.
2%
20-24
$55 KL.
2%
25-29
$55 KL.
2%
30-34
$61 KL.
2%
35-39
$68 KL.
2%
40-44
$133 KL.
1%
45-49
$19 KL.
1%
50-54
$24 KL.
1%
55-59
$21 KL.
1%
60+
$12 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign overwhelming probability to fewer than five posts from Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s official X account during the September 18–25 window, reflecting the account’s established pattern of infrequent official statements rather than daily commentary. The profile, launched earlier in 2026, has issued sporadic releases focused on regime messaging amid ongoing regional tensions with the United States and Israel, without evidence of accelerated output even during active conflict phases. Primary drivers include institutional preference for measured, high-impact declarations over volume, combined with limited recent activity in early September. A sustained spike beyond this range would require multiple discrete official announcements tied to major diplomatic, military, or internal developments within the narrow resolution period, an outcome traders currently view as low-probability given historical cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,260Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/khamenei_irNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign overwhelming probability to fewer than five posts from Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s official X account during the September 18–25 window, reflecting the account’s established pattern of infrequent official statements rather than daily commentary. The profile, launched earlier in 2026, has issued sporadic releases focused on regime messaging amid ongoing regional tensions with the United States and Israel, without evidence of accelerated output even during active conflict phases. Primary drivers include institutional preference for measured, high-impact declarations over volume, combined with limited recent activity in early September. A sustained spike beyond this range would require multiple discrete official announcements tied to major diplomatic, military, or internal developments within the narrow resolution period, an outcome traders currently view as low-probability given historical cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$1,260Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/khamenei_irNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign overwhelming probability to fewer than five posts from Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s official X account during the September 18–25 window, reflecting the account’s established pattern of infrequent official statements rather than daily commentary. The profile, launched earlier in 2026, has issued sporadic releases focused on regime messaging amid ongoing regional tensions with the United States and Israel, without evidence of accelerated output even during active conflict phases. Primary drivers include institutional preference for measured, high-impact declarations over volume, combined with limited recent activity in early September. A sustained spike beyond this range would require multiple discrete official announcements tied to major diplomatic, military, or internal developments within the narrow resolution period, an outcome traders currently view as low-probability given historical cadence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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