Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models such as AccuWeather place the day's minimum at 26°C under cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and high humidity near 90 percent. This aligns with June climatology, where average overnight lows range 25.6–28.4°C amid above-normal seasonal temperatures. Trader consensus at 97.9 percent on 26°C reflects the tight alignment of official guidance and recent model runs, with negligible probability assigned to deviations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected nocturnal cooling event or measurement discrepancy at the reference station, though current atmospheric stability and steering patterns make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
26°C 97.9%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$61,646 KL.
$61,646 KL.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
98%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 97.9%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$61,646 KL.
$61,646 KL.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
98%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models such as AccuWeather place the day's minimum at 26°C under cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and high humidity near 90 percent. This aligns with June climatology, where average overnight lows range 25.6–28.4°C amid above-normal seasonal temperatures. Trader consensus at 97.9 percent on 26°C reflects the tight alignment of official guidance and recent model runs, with negligible probability assigned to deviations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected nocturnal cooling event or measurement discrepancy at the reference station, though current atmospheric stability and steering patterns make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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