**Trader consensus at 100% for a 25°C minimum on September 2 reflects official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that threshold as the day's low.** Hourly data showed overnight and early-morning readings bottoming at 25°C amid light rain showers and light variable winds, before daytime highs climbed above 28°C under mostly cloudy skies. This aligns closely with climatological normals for early September, where average minima hover near 24.7°C, with recent conditions featuring typical post-summer warmth and moisture preventing deeper cooling. Market-implied odds near zero for 23–24°C outcomes indicate traders viewed any colder readings as inconsistent with both real-time observations and steering patterns. Only an unexpected post-event data revision by the HKO could realistically alter resolution, though such adjustments are rare once daily summaries are finalized.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
25°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$21,475 KL.
$21,475 KL.
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
25°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$21,475 KL.
$21,475 KL.
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Cửa sổ tranh chấp
Cuối cùng
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Cửa sổ tranh chấp
Cuối cùng
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 25°C minimum on September 2 reflects official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that threshold as the day's low.** Hourly data showed overnight and early-morning readings bottoming at 25°C amid light rain showers and light variable winds, before daytime highs climbed above 28°C under mostly cloudy skies. This aligns closely with climatological normals for early September, where average minima hover near 24.7°C, with recent conditions featuring typical post-summer warmth and moisture preventing deeper cooling. Market-implied odds near zero for 23–24°C outcomes indicate traders viewed any colder readings as inconsistent with both real-time observations and steering patterns. Only an unexpected post-event data revision by the HKO could realistically alter resolution, though such adjustments are rare once daily summaries are finalized.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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