Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies including AccuWeather and BBC Weather points to overnight lows of 21–25 °C in Jinan on August 21, driven by the lingering influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that maintains warm, humid conditions across northern China during late summer. This climatological baseline, with historical mid-August minima rarely dipping below 20 °C absent a strong cold surge, underpins the market’s leading implied probability for 22 °C or higher. Light easterly winds and limited cloud cover further support radiative cooling that is moderate rather than extreme, while any isolated showers would tend to limit further temperature drops. Updated model runs through August 20 show low spread and no signals of atypical cooling, keeping trader sentiment anchored to these warmer thresholds ahead of official station readings at Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Jinan on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 21?
22°C or higher 54%
19°C 34%
21°C 34%
15°C 33%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
12°C or below
32%
13°C
27%
14°C
33%
15°C
33%
16°C
32%
17°C
32%
18°C
27%
19°C
34%
20°C
27%
21°C
34%
22°C or higher
54%
22°C or higher 54%
19°C 34%
21°C 34%
15°C 33%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
12°C or below
$38 KL.
32%
13°C
$65 KL.
27%
14°C
$55 KL.
33%
15°C
$55 KL.
33%
16°C
$55 KL.
32%
17°C
$15 KL.
32%
18°C
$65 KL.
27%
19°C
$55 KL.
34%
20°C
$15 KL.
27%
21°C
$0 KL.
34%
22°C or higher
$253 KL.
54%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies including AccuWeather and BBC Weather points to overnight lows of 21–25 °C in Jinan on August 21, driven by the lingering influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that maintains warm, humid conditions across northern China during late summer. This climatological baseline, with historical mid-August minima rarely dipping below 20 °C absent a strong cold surge, underpins the market’s leading implied probability for 22 °C or higher. Light easterly winds and limited cloud cover further support radiative cooling that is moderate rather than extreme, while any isolated showers would tend to limit further temperature drops. Updated model runs through August 20 show low spread and no signals of atypical cooling, keeping trader sentiment anchored to these warmer thresholds ahead of official station readings at Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$668Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies including AccuWeather and BBC Weather points to overnight lows of 21–25 °C in Jinan on August 21, driven by the lingering influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that maintains warm, humid conditions across northern China during late summer. This climatological baseline, with historical mid-August minima rarely dipping below 20 °C absent a strong cold surge, underpins the market’s leading implied probability for 22 °C or higher. Light easterly winds and limited cloud cover further support radiative cooling that is moderate rather than extreme, while any isolated showers would tend to limit further temperature drops. Updated model runs through August 20 show low spread and no signals of atypical cooling, keeping trader sentiment anchored to these warmer thresholds ahead of official station readings at Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$668Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies including AccuWeather and BBC Weather points to overnight lows of 21–25 °C in Jinan on August 21, driven by the lingering influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that maintains warm, humid conditions across northern China during late summer. This climatological baseline, with historical mid-August minima rarely dipping below 20 °C absent a strong cold surge, underpins the market’s leading implied probability for 22 °C or higher. Light easterly winds and limited cloud cover further support radiative cooling that is moderate rather than extreme, while any isolated showers would tend to limit further temperature drops. Updated model runs through August 20 show low spread and no signals of atypical cooling, keeping trader sentiment anchored to these warmer thresholds ahead of official station readings at Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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