Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Karachi near 26–27°C on September 2, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flows, high humidity levels above 70%, extensive cloud cover, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology for the region, where overnight lows rarely dip below 25°C amid ongoing moisture influx. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with only modest potential for slightly cooler readings if patchy rain increases or winds weaken further overnight. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors against model variability and the narrow window before resolution, keeping implied odds clustered near the central thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Karachi on September 2?
23°C 100%
25°C 100%
26°C 100%
27°C 100%
21°C or below
12%
22°C
15%
23°C
100%
24°C
99%
25°C
100%
26°C
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
98%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C or higher
11%
23°C 100%
25°C 100%
26°C 100%
27°C 100%
21°C or below
12%
22°C
15%
23°C
100%
24°C
99%
25°C
100%
26°C
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
98%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Karachi near 26–27°C on September 2, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flows, high humidity levels above 70%, extensive cloud cover, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology for the region, where overnight lows rarely dip below 25°C amid ongoing moisture influx. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with only modest potential for slightly cooler readings if patchy rain increases or winds weaken further overnight. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors against model variability and the narrow window before resolution, keeping implied odds clustered near the central thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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