Recent forecasts for Manila show nighttime lows on September 2 clustered around 25–27°C amid an enhanced southwest monsoon driven by distant Tropical Depression Pilandok, which is sustaining scattered thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover over Luzon. These conditions introduce forecast uncertainty through variable rainfall timing and reduced diurnal cooling, with models diverging on the exact minimum amid high humidity and moderate southwest winds. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific spread, with implied probabilities tightly grouped between 27°C and nearby thresholds as markets weigh the monsoon’s cooling influence against typical September baselines near 26°C. Updated PAGASA guidance and short-range model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Manila on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 2?
30°C 93%
31°C or higher 93%
21°C or below 92%
24°C 91%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
92%
22°C
6%
23°C
14%
24°C
91%
25°C
85%
26°C
86%
27°C
49%
28°C
45%
29°C
89%
30°C
93%
31°C or higher
93%
30°C 93%
31°C or higher 93%
21°C or below 92%
24°C 91%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
$5 KL.
92%
22°C
$5 KL.
6%
23°C
$21 KL.
14%
24°C
$0 KL.
91%
25°C
$0 KL.
85%
26°C
$0 KL.
86%
27°C
$0 KL.
49%
28°C
$0 KL.
45%
29°C
$1 KL.
89%
30°C
$5 KL.
93%
31°C or higher
$5 KL.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila show nighttime lows on September 2 clustered around 25–27°C amid an enhanced southwest monsoon driven by distant Tropical Depression Pilandok, which is sustaining scattered thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover over Luzon. These conditions introduce forecast uncertainty through variable rainfall timing and reduced diurnal cooling, with models diverging on the exact minimum amid high humidity and moderate southwest winds. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific spread, with implied probabilities tightly grouped between 27°C and nearby thresholds as markets weigh the monsoon’s cooling influence against typical September baselines near 26°C. Updated PAGASA guidance and short-range model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Khối lượng
$42Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila show nighttime lows on September 2 clustered around 25–27°C amid an enhanced southwest monsoon driven by distant Tropical Depression Pilandok, which is sustaining scattered thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover over Luzon. These conditions introduce forecast uncertainty through variable rainfall timing and reduced diurnal cooling, with models diverging on the exact minimum amid high humidity and moderate southwest winds. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific spread, with implied probabilities tightly grouped between 27°C and nearby thresholds as markets weigh the monsoon’s cooling influence against typical September baselines near 26°C. Updated PAGASA guidance and short-range model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$42Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Manila show nighttime lows on September 2 clustered around 25–27°C amid an enhanced southwest monsoon driven by distant Tropical Depression Pilandok, which is sustaining scattered thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover over Luzon. These conditions introduce forecast uncertainty through variable rainfall timing and reduced diurnal cooling, with models diverging on the exact minimum amid high humidity and moderate southwest winds. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific spread, with implied probabilities tightly grouped between 27°C and nearby thresholds as markets weigh the monsoon’s cooling influence against typical September baselines near 26°C. Updated PAGASA guidance and short-range model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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