Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate a typical early-September pattern for Milan, with light winds, moderate humidity around 60%, and limited overnight cloud cover supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29°C. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 18–21°C range, aligning with trader-implied odds clustering near 20°C while assigning low probability to extremes below 17°C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, which control how far surface temperatures drop before sunrise on September 2; updated model runs tonight could tighten or widen this spread. Historical climatology places early-September lows near 18°C, providing context for current market positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 2?
15°C 100%
18°C 100%
21°C 100%
22°C 100%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
14°C or below
6%
15°C
100%
16°C
92%
17°C
21%
18°C
100%
19°C
95%
20°C
92%
21°C
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C or higher
11%
15°C 100%
18°C 100%
21°C 100%
22°C 100%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
14°C or below
$5 KL.
6%
15°C
$5 KL.
100%
16°C
$0 KL.
92%
17°C
$0 KL.
21%
18°C
$0 KL.
100%
19°C
$0 KL.
95%
20°C
$0 KL.
92%
21°C
$0 KL.
100%
22°C
$15 KL.
100%
23°C
$5 KL.
100%
24°C or higher
$5 KL.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate a typical early-September pattern for Milan, with light winds, moderate humidity around 60%, and limited overnight cloud cover supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29°C. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 18–21°C range, aligning with trader-implied odds clustering near 20°C while assigning low probability to extremes below 17°C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, which control how far surface temperatures drop before sunrise on September 2; updated model runs tonight could tighten or widen this spread. Historical climatology places early-September lows near 18°C, providing context for current market positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$35Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate a typical early-September pattern for Milan, with light winds, moderate humidity around 60%, and limited overnight cloud cover supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29°C. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 18–21°C range, aligning with trader-implied odds clustering near 20°C while assigning low probability to extremes below 17°C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, which control how far surface temperatures drop before sunrise on September 2; updated model runs tonight could tighten or widen this spread. Historical climatology places early-September lows near 18°C, providing context for current market positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$35Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate a typical early-September pattern for Milan, with light winds, moderate humidity around 60%, and limited overnight cloud cover supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29°C. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 18–21°C range, aligning with trader-implied odds clustering near 20°C while assigning low probability to extremes below 17°C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, which control how far surface temperatures drop before sunrise on September 2; updated model runs tonight could tighten or widen this spread. Historical climatology places early-September lows near 18°C, providing context for current market positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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