Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological centers highlight moderate uncertainty in Moscow's overnight minimum on August 21, with model spreads placing the lowest temperature most likely between 11–14°C amid typical late-summer variability. Clear skies under a building high-pressure ridge favor stronger radiative cooling and lower readings, while any increase in cloud cover or light winds from a passing trough would limit heat loss and support readings near 13–15°C. Historical climatology shows August overnight lows averaging near 13°C with occasional dips below 10°C when dry continental air dominates, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around the 9–15°C range and underscoring the role of short-term atmospheric conditions in resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
9°C or below 42%
12°C 34%
13°C 34%
14°C 34%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
9°C or below
42%
10°C
34%
11°C
33%
12°C
34%
13°C
34%
14°C
34%
15°C
34%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 42%
12°C 34%
13°C 34%
14°C 34%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
9°C or below
$82 KL.
42%
10°C
$39 KL.
34%
11°C
$27 KL.
33%
12°C
$0 KL.
34%
13°C
$0 KL.
34%
14°C
$0 KL.
34%
15°C
$16 KL.
34%
16°C
$5,356 KL.
1%
17°C
$150 KL.
<1%
18°C
$69 KL.
<1%
19°C or higher
$69 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological centers highlight moderate uncertainty in Moscow's overnight minimum on August 21, with model spreads placing the lowest temperature most likely between 11–14°C amid typical late-summer variability. Clear skies under a building high-pressure ridge favor stronger radiative cooling and lower readings, while any increase in cloud cover or light winds from a passing trough would limit heat loss and support readings near 13–15°C. Historical climatology shows August overnight lows averaging near 13°C with occasional dips below 10°C when dry continental air dominates, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around the 9–15°C range and underscoring the role of short-term atmospheric conditions in resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,809Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological centers highlight moderate uncertainty in Moscow's overnight minimum on August 21, with model spreads placing the lowest temperature most likely between 11–14°C amid typical late-summer variability. Clear skies under a building high-pressure ridge favor stronger radiative cooling and lower readings, while any increase in cloud cover or light winds from a passing trough would limit heat loss and support readings near 13–15°C. Historical climatology shows August overnight lows averaging near 13°C with occasional dips below 10°C when dry continental air dominates, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around the 9–15°C range and underscoring the role of short-term atmospheric conditions in resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,809Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological centers highlight moderate uncertainty in Moscow's overnight minimum on August 21, with model spreads placing the lowest temperature most likely between 11–14°C amid typical late-summer variability. Clear skies under a building high-pressure ridge favor stronger radiative cooling and lower readings, while any increase in cloud cover or light winds from a passing trough would limit heat loss and support readings near 13–15°C. Historical climatology shows August overnight lows averaging near 13°C with occasional dips below 10°C when dry continental air dominates, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around the 9–15°C range and underscoring the role of short-term atmospheric conditions in resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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