**Forecasts for Moscow's overnight low on September 2 center on 14–16 °C**, reflecting a transitional weather pattern as a warm anticyclone gives way to southwesterly flow ahead of a weak frontal system. Multiple models show persistent cloud cover and light winds (5–10 m/s) that limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the early-September climatological average of ~10.5 °C. Light precipitation chances (10–40 %) add moisture that further moderates overnight drops. Slight differences among leading outcomes (13–17 °C) stem from model spread in exact cloud thickness, wind direction, and the timing of any clearing, which can alter the surface energy balance by 1–2 °C. Extremes below 12 °C or above 20 °C remain low-probability because current observations and ensemble guidance show little support for either strong cold advection or unseasonable warmth. Updated runs from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and European models will likely refine these ranges before the 24-hour window closes.