Recent NWS and NOAA guidance for June 14, 2026, shows a warm, moist southerly flow with elevated dew points limiting overnight radiational cooling, positioning the daily minimum in the low 70s at LaGuardia and Central Park stations. Model consensus favors this range over cooler outcomes because persistent cloud cover and higher boundary-layer moisture reduce temperature drops below 72°F, while daytime highs near 85–90°F anchor the floor. Trader-implied odds, led by the 72–73°F bin at 43%, align with these conditions and historical June variability when similar setups occur. Final resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum reported by early June 15.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on June 14?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 14?
72-73°F 41%
74-75°F 24%
76-77°F 19.3%
70-71°F 11%
$14,407 KL.
$14,407 KL.
Jun 14, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
43%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 41%
74-75°F 24%
76-77°F 19.3%
70-71°F 11%
$14,407 KL.
$14,407 KL.
Jun 14, 2026
63°F or below
$1,889 KL.
<1%
64-65°F
$2,170 KL.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,204 KL.
3%
68-69°F
$929 KL.
7%
70-71°F
$256 KL.
19%
72-73°F
$308 KL.
43%
74-75°F
$1,106 KL.
18%
76-77°F
$2,039 KL.
25%
78-79°F
$1,756 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$976 KL.
<1%
82°F or higher
$775 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and NOAA guidance for June 14, 2026, shows a warm, moist southerly flow with elevated dew points limiting overnight radiational cooling, positioning the daily minimum in the low 70s at LaGuardia and Central Park stations. Model consensus favors this range over cooler outcomes because persistent cloud cover and higher boundary-layer moisture reduce temperature drops below 72°F, while daytime highs near 85–90°F anchor the floor. Trader-implied odds, led by the 72–73°F bin at 43%, align with these conditions and historical June variability when similar setups occur. Final resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum reported by early June 15.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$14,407Ngày kết thúc
Jun 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and NOAA guidance for June 14, 2026, shows a warm, moist southerly flow with elevated dew points limiting overnight radiational cooling, positioning the daily minimum in the low 70s at LaGuardia and Central Park stations. Model consensus favors this range over cooler outcomes because persistent cloud cover and higher boundary-layer moisture reduce temperature drops below 72°F, while daytime highs near 85–90°F anchor the floor. Trader-implied odds, led by the 72–73°F bin at 43%, align with these conditions and historical June variability when similar setups occur. Final resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum reported by early June 15.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$14,407Ngày kết thúc
Jun 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NWS and NOAA guidance for June 14, 2026, shows a warm, moist southerly flow with elevated dew points limiting overnight radiational cooling, positioning the daily minimum in the low 70s at LaGuardia and Central Park stations. Model consensus favors this range over cooler outcomes because persistent cloud cover and higher boundary-layer moisture reduce temperature drops below 72°F, while daytime highs near 85–90°F anchor the floor. Trader-implied odds, led by the 72–73°F bin at 43%, align with these conditions and historical June variability when similar setups occur. Final resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum reported by early June 15.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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