**Trader sentiment for Seoul’s June 18 minimum temperature clusters around 19–21 °C because short-range forecasts consistently point to a daily low near 19–20 °C (67–68 °F).** Official guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com and the Korea Meteorological Administration shows overnight lows of roughly 19.4 °C under broken clouds, light winds, and moderate humidity (40–50 %), conditions that permit efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 33 °C. The tight spread among 21 °C (31.5 %), 20 °C (27 %), and 19 °C (23.5 %) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty: small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or localized moisture can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Clearer skies or lighter winds would favor the lower end (19 °C), while increased cloudiness or a slight uptick in humidity would support 20–21 °C. Historical early-June climatology (typical lows 17–19 °C) and the approaching East Asian monsoon further anchor expectations in this narrow band, with minimal chance of extremes below 17 °C or above 22 °C given current model consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul on June 18?
21°C 33%
20°C 27%
19°C 17%
22°C 7.5%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
5%
19°C
17%
20°C
27%
21°C
33%
22°C
8%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 33%
20°C 27%
19°C 17%
22°C 7.5%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
5%
19°C
17%
20°C
27%
21°C
33%
22°C
8%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Seoul’s June 18 minimum temperature clusters around 19–21 °C because short-range forecasts consistently point to a daily low near 19–20 °C (67–68 °F).** Official guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com and the Korea Meteorological Administration shows overnight lows of roughly 19.4 °C under broken clouds, light winds, and moderate humidity (40–50 %), conditions that permit efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 33 °C. The tight spread among 21 °C (31.5 %), 20 °C (27 %), and 19 °C (23.5 %) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty: small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or localized moisture can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Clearer skies or lighter winds would favor the lower end (19 °C), while increased cloudiness or a slight uptick in humidity would support 20–21 °C. Historical early-June climatology (typical lows 17–19 °C) and the approaching East Asian monsoon further anchor expectations in this narrow band, with minimal chance of extremes below 17 °C or above 22 °C given current model consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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