**Forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 17 clustered around 22–23°C, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes.** Latest runs show mostly cloudy to light-rain conditions with light easterly or northeasterly winds and moderate humidity, limiting overnight radiative cooling. Surface observations and guidance from sources such as GFS indicate the overnight low will likely fall in the low-20s Celsius range, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region. The tight spread between 22°C and 23°C reflects small but meaningful differences in model timing of cloud breaks or wind shifts that could allow slightly more or less cooling. Higher or lower outcomes remain possible only if unexpected changes in the boundary layer or precipitation timing occur before dawn.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 17?
23°C 42%
22°C 39%
20°C 16%
21°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
16%
21°C
9%
22°C
39%
23°C
42%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 42%
22°C 39%
20°C 16%
21°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
17°C or below
$89 KL.
<1%
18°C
$17 KL.
<1%
19°C
$0 KL.
2%
20°C
$0 KL.
16%
21°C
$163 KL.
9%
22°C
$134 KL.
39%
23°C
$749 KL.
42%
24°C
$743 KL.
6%
25°C
$0 KL.
1%
26°C
$64 KL.
1%
27°C or higher
$64 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 17 clustered around 22–23°C, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes.**
Latest runs show mostly cloudy to light-rain conditions with light easterly or northeasterly winds and moderate humidity, limiting overnight radiative cooling. Surface observations and guidance from sources such as GFS indicate the overnight low will likely fall in the low-20s Celsius range, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region. The tight spread between 22°C and 23°C reflects small but meaningful differences in model timing of cloud breaks or wind shifts that could allow slightly more or less cooling. Higher or lower outcomes remain possible only if unexpected changes in the boundary layer or precipitation timing occur before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,022Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 17 clustered around 22–23°C, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes.**
Latest runs show mostly cloudy to light-rain conditions with light easterly or northeasterly winds and moderate humidity, limiting overnight radiative cooling. Surface observations and guidance from sources such as GFS indicate the overnight low will likely fall in the low-20s Celsius range, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region. The tight spread between 22°C and 23°C reflects small but meaningful differences in model timing of cloud breaks or wind shifts that could allow slightly more or less cooling. Higher or lower outcomes remain possible only if unexpected changes in the boundary layer or precipitation timing occur before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,022Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 17 clustered around 22–23°C, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes.** Latest runs show mostly cloudy to light-rain conditions with light easterly or northeasterly winds and moderate humidity, limiting overnight radiative cooling. Surface observations and guidance from sources such as GFS indicate the overnight low will likely fall in the low-20s Celsius range, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region. The tight spread between 22°C and 23°C reflects small but meaningful differences in model timing of cloud breaks or wind shifts that could allow slightly more or less cooling. Higher or lower outcomes remain possible only if unexpected changes in the boundary layer or precipitation timing occur before dawn.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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